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Brinkumer SV v Werder Bremen III

Brinkumer SV

4–0Full time

Werder Bremen III

Oberliga - Bremen · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 14:35

Brinkumer SV 4–0 Werder Bremen III BRINKUMER SV WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT3–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Brinkumer SV win~~76%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.086

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Match events aren’t available for this match.

Pre-match prediction

Brinkumer SV win76%

Draw13%

Werder Bremen III win11%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 12:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · brinkumer sv winPublished 10 Oct 14:16

76% The market–

Us76%

We make Brinkumer SV a 76% chance to win. The model expects 3.5–1.3, and 3–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Brinkumer SV win	76%	–	–
Draw	13%	–	–
Werder Bremen III win	11%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	85%	–	–
Both teams to score	70%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	95%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	69%	–	–
Brinkumer SV or draw	89%	–	–
Brinkumer SV clean sheet	28%	–	–
Werder Bremen III clean sheet	4%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–1 at 7.1%

0123450 1 3.0 4.2 2.7 2 5.1 6.5 4.3 3 5.6 7.1 4.7 2.1 4 4.9 6.1 3.9 5 3.5 4.3 2.7

under 2% 5% 12%+Brinkumer SV down, Werder Bremen III across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,331 Oberliga - Bremen matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Bremen matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.7% of games this season, across 66 played.

Head to head

8 previous meetings, 4.38 goals a meeting; 7 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Brinkumer SV at home: 1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Werder Bremen III away: 1.33 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

3.48 goals for Brinkumer SV, 1.31 for Werder Bremen III. Most likely score 3–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~4.38

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 8

~~Both scored~~6 of 8

~~Last meetings~~WER 2–2 BRI · BRI 3–5 WER · WER 2–3 BRI · BRI 2–2 WER

Form · last six in Oberliga - Bremen

BRINKUMER SV

WWWWWW3–0 · 3–2 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 7–1

WERDER BREMEN III

LLLWLD1–7 · 2–5 · 0–1 · 3–1 · 1–2 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hemelingen	8	+28	22
2	Blumenthaler SV	8	+23	21
3	Brinkumer SV	8	+21	21
4	OSC Bremerhaven	8	+27	19
5	Aumund-Vegesack	8	+6	13
6	Union Bremen	8	+2	12
7	Eiche Horn	8	−4	12
8	Geestemünde	9	−6	11
9	Vatan Sport	8	+1	10
10	Grohn	8	−9	10
11	Schwachhausen	8	−9	10
12	BTS Neustadt	9	−13	9
13	Leher TS	9	−3	8
14	Werder Bremen III	8	−12	4
15	Woltmershausen	8	−22	4
16	Oberneuland	9	−30	2