Blumenthaler SV v Woltmershausen prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 14:49

Blumenthaler SV 4–0 Woltmershausen BLUMENTHALER SV WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT4–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Blumenthaler SV win~~87%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.025

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Blumenthaler SV are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Blumenthaler SV 87%, draw 8%, Woltmershausen 5%. Over 2.5 goals 89%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Blumenthaler SV v WoltmershausenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Blumenthaler SV win87%

Draw8%

Woltmershausen win5%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:00

RoundBremen · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Blumenthaler SV

Woltmershausen

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Blumenthaler SV	9	+25	24
15	Woltmershausen	9	−23	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · blumenthaler sv winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

87% The market–

Us87%

We make Blumenthaler SV an 87% chance to win. The model expects 4.3–1.1, and 4–0 is the single most likely score at 6%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Blumenthaler SV v Woltmershausen~~4.28 – 1.05

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Bremen this season · since 29 Aug~~W5 D0 L1 · W0 D0 L6

~~Table places · points 24 v 4~~2 v 15

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Blumenthaler SV win	87%	–	–
Draw	8%	–	–
Woltmershausen win	5%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	89%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	97%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	76%	–	–
Blumenthaler SV or draw	95%	–	–
Blumenthaler SV clean sheet	36%	–	–
Woltmershausen clean sheet	2%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 4–0 at 6.5%

0123450 1 2.2 2.6 2 4.6 4.8 2.6 3 6.3 6.4 3.5 4 6.5 6.5 3.5 5 5.6 5.4 2.8

under 2% 5% 12%+Blumenthaler SV down, Woltmershausen across0–5 goals a side shown (73.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,338 Oberliga - Bremen matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Bremen matches have gone over 2.5 in 75.3% of games this season, across 73 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 5.38 goals a meeting; 8 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Blumenthaler SV at home: 3.67 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Woltmershausen away: 1.67 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

4.28 goals for Blumenthaler SV, 1.05 for Woltmershausen. Most likely score 4–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~5.38

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 8

~~Both scored~~7 of 8

~~Last meetings~~BLU 5–1 WOL · WOL 0–4 BLU · WOL 4–6 BLU · BLU 1–2 WOL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Bremen this season · since 29 Aug

BLUMENTHALER SV

WWWLWW1–0 · 5–2 · 6–0 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 3–1

WOLTMERSHAUSEN

LLLLLL0–2 · 1–3 · 2–3 · 1–7 · 1–4 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hemelingen	9	+31	25
2	Blumenthaler SV	9	+25	24
3	Brinkumer SV	9	+25	24
4	OSC Bremerhaven	10	+28	22
5	Aumund-Vegesack	9	+9	16
6	Vatan Sport	9	+2	13
7	Schwachhausen	9	−6	13
8	Union Bremen	9	0	12
9	Eiche Horn	10	−11	12
10	Geestemünde	9	−6	11
11	Grohn	9	−12	10
12	BTS Neustadt	9	−13	9
13	Leher TS	9	−3	8
14	Werder Bremen III	9	−16	4
15	Woltmershausen	9	−23	4
16	Oberneuland	9	−30	2