Aumund-Vegesack v OSC Bremerhaven prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38

Aumund-Vegesack 0–3 OSC Bremerhaven OSC BREMERHAVEN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said OSC Bremerhaven win~~62%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.217

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

OSC Bremerhaven are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Aumund-Vegesack 21%, draw 16%, OSC Bremerhaven 62%. Over 2.5 goals 85%, both teams to score 78%.

The AI’s read on Aumund-Vegesack v OSC BremerhavenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Aumund-Vegesack win21%

Draw16%

OSC Bremerhaven win62%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundBremen · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Aumund-Vegesack

OSC Bremerhaven

7Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen

Last match: 16 Oct · Oberliga - Bremen

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	OSC Bremerhaven	10	+28	22
5	Aumund-Vegesack	10	+9	17

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · osc bremerhaven winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

62% The market–

Us62%

We make OSC Bremerhaven a 62% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–3.0, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Aumund-Vegesack v OSC Bremerhaven~~1.78 – 3.04

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Bremen this season · since 4 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 17 v 22~~5 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Aumund-Vegesack win	21%	–	–
Draw	16%	–	–
OSC Bremerhaven win	62%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	85%	–	–
Both teams to score	78%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	95%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	70%	–	–
Aumund-Vegesack or draw	38%	–	–
Aumund-Vegesack clean sheet	6%	–	–
OSC Bremerhaven clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 6.5%

0123450 2.5 3.8 3.8 2.8 1 4.8 6.5 6.4 4.8 3.02 4.0 5.7 5.5 4.1 2.63 2.4 3.4 3.3 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Aumund-Vegesack down, OSC Bremerhaven across0–5 goals a side shown (89.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,347 Oberliga - Bremen matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Bremen matches have gone over 2.5 in 76.8% of games this season, across 82 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 4.60 goals a meeting; 9 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Aumund-Vegesack at home: 2.33 scored, 2.83 conceded a game (last 6). OSC Bremerhaven away: 2.33 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.78 goals for Aumund-Vegesack, 3.04 for OSC Bremerhaven. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~4.60

~~Over 2.5~~9 of 10

~~Both scored~~7 of 10

~~Last meetings~~OSC 3–2 AUM · AUM 0–3 OSC · AUM 5–0 OSC · OSC 3–1 AUM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Bremen this season · since 4 Sept

AUMUND-VEGESACK

WLWDWD3–2 · 2–3 · 7–1 · 1–1 · 5–2 · 3–3

OSC BREMERHAVEN

LWDWLW0–1 · 12–0 · 1–1 · 4–1 · 0–3 · 4–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Brinkumer SV	11	+29	30
2	Hemelingen	10	+37	28
3	Blumenthaler SV	10	+29	27
4	OSC Bremerhaven	10	+28	22
5	Aumund-Vegesack	10	+9	17
6	Geestemünde	10	−3	14
7	Schwachhausen	10	−6	14
8	Vatan Sport	10	−4	13
9	Union Bremen	10	−3	12
10	Eiche Horn	10	−11	12
11	BTS Neustadt	11	−12	12
12	Leher TS	10	+5	11
13	Grohn	11	−23	10
14	Oberneuland	11	−31	5
15	Werder Bremen III	10	−17	4
16	Woltmershausen	10	−27	4