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Landshut v Sportfreunde Schwaig

Landshut

1–2Full time

Sportfreunde Schwaig

Oberliga - Bayern Süd · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:30

Landshut 1–2 Sportfreunde Schwaig LANDSHUT WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Landshut win~~48%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.832

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Landshut win48%

Draw25%

Sportfreunde Schwaig win27%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · landshut winPublished 10 Oct 16:17

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Landshut a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Landshut win	48%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Sportfreunde Schwaig win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
Landshut or draw	73%	–	–
Landshut clean sheet	30%	–	–
Sportfreunde Schwaig clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.7%

0123450 6.3 5.6 4.0 1 8.1 11.7 6.6 2.8 2 7.7 9.2 5.7 2.4 3 4.5 5.4 3.3 4 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Landshut down, Sportfreunde Schwaig across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,275 Oberliga - Bayern Süd matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Bayern Süd matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.3% of games this season, across 120 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Landshut at home: 2.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Sportfreunde Schwaig away: 2.50 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.73 goals for Landshut, 1.24 for Sportfreunde Schwaig. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2022

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Bayern Süd

LANDSHUT

DWWWDL3–3 · 1–0 · 4–1 · 4–0 · 0–0 · 1–2

SPORTFREUNDE SCHWAIG

WDDDWD4–0 · 2–2 · 3–3 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Pipinsried	14	+23	32
2	1880 Wasserburg	14	+10	28
3	Erlbach	14	+11	26
4	Landshut	13	+12	25
5	Pfaffenhofen	14	+1	23
6	Hankofen-Hailing	13	+6	22
7	Sportfreunde Schwaig	13	+10	20
8	Ismaning	13	+7	17
9	Heimstetten	13	−1	17
10	1860 München II	13	+1	16
11	Gundelfingen	13	−4	15
12	Kottern	13	−6	15
13	Schwabmünchen	13	−2	13
14	Deisenhofen	13	−9	13
15	Kirchanschöring	13	−12	12
16	1860 Rosenheim	14	−10	11
17	Schalding-Heining	13	−20	10
18	TuS Geretsried	14	−17	9