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Kirchanschöring v Schwabmünchen

Kirchanschöring

1–2Full time

Schwabmünchen

Oberliga - Bayern Süd · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:30

Kirchanschöring 1–2 Schwabmünchen KIRCHANSCHÖRING WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Kirchanschöring win~~53%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.879

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Kirchanschöring win53%

Draw22%

Schwabmünchen win26%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kirchanschöring winPublished 10 Oct 16:17

53% The market–

Us53%

We make Kirchanschöring a 53% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kirchanschöring win	53%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Schwabmünchen win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	69%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	51%	–	–
Kirchanschöring or draw	74%	–	–
Kirchanschöring clean sheet	23%	–	–
Schwabmünchen clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.7%

0123450 3.3 3.1 2.8 1 4.9 8.7 6.0 3.0 2 6.0 8.7 6.5 3.3 3 4.4 6.4 4.7 2.4 4 2.5 3.6 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kirchanschöring down, Schwabmünchen across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,275 Oberliga - Bayern Süd matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Bayern Süd matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.3% of games this season, across 120 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Kirchanschöring at home: 1.33 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Schwabmünchen away: 0.83 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.21 goals for Kirchanschöring, 1.50 for Schwabmünchen. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2022

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Bayern Süd

KIRCHANSCHÖRING

WLDLLW3–1 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 2–5 · 0–4 · 2–1

SCHWABMÜNCHEN

WDLDLW3–0 · 3–3 · 1–4 · 3–3 · 0–2 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Pipinsried	14	+23	32
2	1880 Wasserburg	14	+10	28
3	Erlbach	14	+11	26
4	Landshut	13	+12	25
5	Pfaffenhofen	14	+1	23
6	Hankofen-Hailing	13	+6	22
7	Sportfreunde Schwaig	13	+10	20
8	Ismaning	13	+7	17
9	Heimstetten	13	−1	17
10	1860 München II	13	+1	16
11	Gundelfingen	13	−4	15
12	Kottern	13	−6	15
13	Schwabmünchen	13	−2	13
14	Deisenhofen	13	−9	13
15	Kirchanschöring	13	−12	12
16	1860 Rosenheim	14	−10	11
17	Schalding-Heining	13	−20	10
18	TuS Geretsried	14	−17	9