Kirchanschöring v Pfaffenhofen prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33

Kirchanschöring 0–2 Pfaffenhofen KIRCHANSCHÖRING WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Kirchanschöring win~~49%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.821

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kirchanschöring are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kirchanschöring 49%, draw 24%, Pfaffenhofen 28%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 65%.

The AI’s read on Kirchanschöring v PfaffenhofenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Kirchanschöring win49%

Draw24%

Pfaffenhofen win28%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00

RoundBayern Süd · matchday 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kirchanschöring

Pfaffenhofen

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Oberliga - Bayern Süd

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Pfaffenhofen	15	+2	26
16	Kirchanschöring	15	−11	15

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kirchanschöring winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Kirchanschöring a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kirchanschöring v Pfaffenhofen~~1.95 – 1.42

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Bayern Süd this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 15 v 26~~16 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kirchanschöring win	49%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Pfaffenhofen win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	65%	–	–
Both teams to score	65%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	43%	–	–
Kirchanschöring or draw	72%	–	–
Kirchanschöring clean sheet	25%	–	–
Pfaffenhofen clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.3%

0123450 4.5 4.2 3.5 1 6.0 10.3 6.7 3.2 2 6.6 9.0 6.3 3.0 3 4.3 5.9 4.1 4 2.1 2.9 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kirchanschöring down, Pfaffenhofen across0–5 goals a side shown (97.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,295 Oberliga - Bayern Süd matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Bayern Süd matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.0% of games this season, across 140 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Kirchanschöring at home: 1.33 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Pfaffenhofen away: 1.67 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.95 goals for Kirchanschöring, 1.42 for Pfaffenhofen. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Bayern Süd this season · since 12 Sept

KIRCHANSCHÖRING

DLLWLW1–1 · 2–5 · 0–4 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 2–0

PFAFFENHOFEN

DWDWLW3–3 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 4–2 · 1–2 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Pipinsried	16	+21	33
2	Erlbach	16	+13	32
3	1880 Wasserburg	16	+11	31
4	Landshut	16	+11	28
5	Sportfreunde Schwaig	16	+16	27
6	Pfaffenhofen	15	+2	26
7	Hankofen-Hailing	15	+7	25
8	Ismaning	15	+9	23
9	1860 München II	16	+3	21
10	Gundelfingen	15	−1	18
11	Heimstetten	15	−2	18
12	Kottern	15	−6	17
13	Schwabmünchen	15	−2	16
14	Deisenhofen	16	−16	16
15	1860 Rosenheim	16	−9	15
16	Kirchanschöring	15	−11	15
17	Schalding-Heining	16	−27	10
18	TuS Geretsried	16	−19	9