Hankofen-Hailing v 1880 Wasserburg prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:10

Hankofen-Hailing 0–2 1880 Wasserburg HANKOFEN-HAILING WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Hankofen-Hailing win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.729

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hankofen-Hailing are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hankofen-Hailing 45%, draw 23%, 1880 Wasserburg 31%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on Hankofen-Hailing v 1880 WasserburgBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Hankofen-Hailing win45%

Draw23%

1880 Wasserburg win31%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundBayern Süd · matchday 15

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hankofen-Hailing

1880 Wasserburg

7Days since last match8

Last match: 10 Oct · Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Last match: 9 Oct · Oberliga - Bayern Süd

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	1880 Wasserburg	14	+10	28
5	Hankofen-Hailing	14	+9	25

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hankofen-hailing winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Hankofen-Hailing a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hankofen-Hailing v 1880 Wasserburg~~1.95 – 1.60

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Bayern Süd this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W5 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 25 v 28~~5 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hankofen-Hailing win	45%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
1880 Wasserburg win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
Hankofen-Hailing or draw	69%	–	–
Hankofen-Hailing clean sheet	21%	–	–
1880 Wasserburg clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.7%

0123450 3.9 4.0 3.8 2.0 1 5.0 9.7 7.0 3.8 2 5.5 8.5 6.7 3.6 3 3.6 5.5 4.3 2.3 4 2.7 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hankofen-Hailing down, 1880 Wasserburg across0–5 goals a side shown (97.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,282 Oberliga - Bayern Süd matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Bayern Süd matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.6% of games this season, across 127 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2023.

Home and away form

Hankofen-Hailing at home: 1.67 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). 1880 Wasserburg away: 2.33 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.95 goals for Hankofen-Hailing, 1.60 for 1880 Wasserburg. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Bayern Süd this season · since 5 Sept

HANKOFEN-HAILING

DDLLWW3–3 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 1–3 · 2–1 · 3–0

1880 WASSERBURG

LWWWWW1–3 · 5–1 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 4–3 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Pipinsried	14	+23	32
2	1880 Wasserburg	14	+10	28
3	Erlbach	14	+11	26
4	Landshut	14	+11	25
5	Hankofen-Hailing	14	+9	25
6	Sportfreunde Schwaig	15	+11	24
7	Pfaffenhofen	14	+1	23
8	Ismaning	14	+8	20
9	1860 München II	15	+1	18
10	Gundelfingen	14	0	18
11	Heimstetten	14	−2	17
12	Schwabmünchen	14	−1	16
13	Kottern	14	−6	16
14	Deisenhofen	14	−12	13
15	Kirchanschöring	14	−13	12
16	1860 Rosenheim	14	−10	11
17	Schalding-Heining	14	−24	10
18	TuS Geretsried	14	−17	9