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Gundelfingen v Schalding-Heining

Gundelfingen

4–0Full time

Schalding-Heining

Oberliga - Bayern Süd · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:30

Gundelfingen 4–0 Schalding-Heining GUNDELFINGEN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Gundelfingen win~~57%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.273

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Gundelfingen win57%

Draw23%

Schalding-Heining win19%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · gundelfingen winPublished 10 Oct 16:17

57% The market–

Us57%

We make Gundelfingen a 57% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Gundelfingen win	57%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Schalding-Heining win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	36%	–	–
Gundelfingen or draw	81%	–	–
Gundelfingen clean sheet	35%	–	–
Schalding-Heining clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%

0123450 5.9 4.4 2.8 1 8.8 10.8 5.3 2 9.3 9.7 5.1 3 6.1 6.3 3.3 4 3.0 3.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Gundelfingen down, Schalding-Heining across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,275 Oberliga - Bayern Süd matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Bayern Süd matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.3% of games this season, across 120 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 2.75 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Gundelfingen at home: 1.17 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Schalding-Heining away: 1.17 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.96 goals for Gundelfingen, 1.06 for Schalding-Heining. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~2.75

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~GUN 1–0 SCH · SCH 1–1 GUN · SCH 2–1 GUN · GUN 2–3 SCH

Form · last six in Oberliga - Bayern Süd

GUNDELFINGEN

DLWDDL1–1 · 2–4 · 3–1 · 2–2 · 0–0 · 1–2

SCHALDING-HEINING

LDDLWL0–4 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 0–4 · 2–0 · 3–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Pipinsried	14	+23	32
2	1880 Wasserburg	14	+10	28
3	Erlbach	14	+11	26
4	Landshut	13	+12	25
5	Pfaffenhofen	14	+1	23
6	Hankofen-Hailing	13	+6	22
7	Sportfreunde Schwaig	13	+10	20
8	Ismaning	13	+7	17
9	Heimstetten	13	−1	17
10	1860 München II	13	+1	16
11	Gundelfingen	13	−4	15
12	Kottern	13	−6	15
13	Schwabmünchen	13	−2	13
14	Deisenhofen	13	−9	13
15	Kirchanschöring	13	−12	12
16	1860 Rosenheim	14	−10	11
17	Schalding-Heining	13	−20	10
18	TuS Geretsried	14	−17	9