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Weiden v Neudrossenfeld

Weiden

18:00Upcoming

Neudrossenfeld

Oberliga - Bayern Nord · FRI 30 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

WeidenDrawNeudrossenfeld

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Weiden 50%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Weiden are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Weiden 50%, draw 23%, Neudrossenfeld 27%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Weiden v NeudrossenfeldBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Weiden win50%

Draw23%

Neudrossenfeld win27%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 18:00

RoundBayern Nord · matchday 17

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Weiden

Neudrossenfeld

6Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Last match: 23 Oct · Oberliga - Bayern Nord

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Neudrossenfeld	16	−5	19
13	Weiden	16	−8	17

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · weiden winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · updated 25 Oct 00:18 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Weiden a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Weiden v Neudrossenfeld~~1.88 – 1.34

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Bayern Nord this season · since 18 Sept~~W1 D3 L2 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 17 v 19~~13 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Weiden win

Published at 49%, 50% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Weiden win	50%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Neudrossenfeld win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	62%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	40%	–	–
Weiden or draw	73%	–	–
Weiden clean sheet	27%	–	–
Neudrossenfeld clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.4%

0123450 4.7 5.0 3.6 1 7.1 10.4 6.6 3.0 2 7.0 9.2 6.1 2.8 3 4.4 5.8 3.9 4 2.1 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Weiden down, Neudrossenfeld across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,369 Oberliga - Bayern Nord matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Bayern Nord matches have gone over 2.5 in 62.2% of games this season, across 143 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Weiden at home: 1.50 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Neudrossenfeld away: 1.17 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.88 goals for Weiden, 1.34 for Neudrossenfeld. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~NEU 2–1 WEI · WEI 0–1 NEU · NEU 1–0 WEI · WEI 2–3 NEU

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Bayern Nord this season · since 18 Sept

WEIDEN

LLDDDW1–3 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 4–3

NEUDROSSENFELD

LDWWLL0–3 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 4–0 · 1–3 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Cham	16	+29	43
2	Würzburger FV	16	+13	31
3	Bayern Hof	16	+11	29
4	Eintracht Bamberg	15	+13	28
5	Kornburg	15	+14	27
6	Gebenbach	16	+1	27
7	Jahn Regensburg II	16	+10	26
8	Viktoria Aschaffenburg	16	+6	23
9	Fortuna Regensburg	16	+8	22
10	Stadeln	16	−7	21
11	Neudrossenfeld	16	−5	19
12	Großbardorf	16	−7	19
13	Weiden	16	−8	17
14	Ammerthal	16	−14	15
15	DJK Bamberg	16	−14	14
16	Nordlingen	16	−16	14
17	Ingolstadt II	16	−11	13
18	ASV Neumarkt	16	−23	6