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Nordlingen v Bayern Hof

Nordlingen

2–5Full time

Bayern Hof

Oberliga - Bayern Nord · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33

Nordlingen 2–5 Bayern Hof BAYERN HOF WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Bayern Hof win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.378

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Nordlingen win27%

Draw23%

Bayern Hof win50%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bayern hof winPublished 10 Oct 17:01

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Bayern Hof a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Nordlingen win	27%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Bayern Hof win	50%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
Nordlingen or draw	50%	–	–
Nordlingen clean sheet	16%	–	–
Bayern Hof clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.6%

0123450 5.0 7.8 7.4 4.5 2.1 1 5.4 10.6 9.2 5.7 2.7 2 3.7 6.6 5.9 3.6 3 2.9 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Nordlingen down, Bayern Hof across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,346 Oberliga - Bayern Nord matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Bayern Nord matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.8% of games this season, across 120 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Nordlingen at home: 0.50 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Bayern Hof away: 2.00 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.29 goals for Nordlingen, 1.84 for Bayern Hof. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2022

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Bayern Nord

NORDLINGEN

LLLLDL0–1 · 1–4 · 0–1 · 1–3 · 0–0 · 0–5

BAYERN HOF

DWWDDL3–3 · 2–1 · 4–0 · 2–2 · 2–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Cham	14	+23	37
2	Würzburger FV	13	+9	26
3	Gebenbach	13	+9	26
4	Kornburg	14	+11	24
5	Eintracht Bamberg	13	+11	24
6	Jahn Regensburg II	13	+6	22
7	Fortuna Regensburg	13	+10	21
8	Bayern Hof	13	+5	20
9	Neudrossenfeld	14	−2	19
10	Stadeln	13	−3	19
11	Viktoria Aschaffenburg	13	+5	18
12	Ammerthal	13	−9	14
13	Ingolstadt II	14	−7	13
14	Weiden	13	−9	12
15	DJK Bamberg	14	−15	11
16	Großbardorf	13	−13	10
17	Nordlingen	13	−14	10
18	ASV Neumarkt	14	−17	6