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Neudrossenfeld v ASV Neumarkt

Neudrossenfeld

4–0Full time

ASV Neumarkt

Oberliga - Bayern Nord · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 20:30

Neudrossenfeld 4–0 ASV Neumarkt NEUDROSSENFELD WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Neudrossenfeld win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.540

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Neudrossenfeld win40%

Draw25%

ASV Neumarkt win35%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 18:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · neudrossenfeld winPublished 9 Oct 20:02

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Neudrossenfeld a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Neudrossenfeld win	40%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
ASV Neumarkt win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	36%	–	–
Neudrossenfeld or draw	65%	–	–
Neudrossenfeld clean sheet	24%	–	–
ASV Neumarkt clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.3%

0123450 5.4 6.7 5.1 2.5 1 7.2 11.3 7.9 3.9 2 6.0 8.5 6.2 3.0 3 3.2 4.5 3.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Neudrossenfeld down, ASV Neumarkt across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,343 Oberliga - Bayern Nord matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Bayern Nord matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.7% of games this season, across 117 played.

Head to head

6 previous meetings, 2.67 goals a meeting; 3 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Neudrossenfeld at home: 1.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). ASV Neumarkt away: 0.83 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.58 goals for Neudrossenfeld, 1.46 for ASV Neumarkt. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~2.67

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 6

~~Both scored~~2 of 6

~~Last meetings~~NEU 1–3 ASV · ASV 3–0 NEU · ASV 2–0 NEU · NEU 1–0 ASV

Form · last six in Oberliga - Bayern Nord

NEUDROSSENFELD

WLWLDW1–0 · 1–4 · 1–0 · 0–3 · 2–2 · 2–1

ASV NEUMARKT

LLWLDL0–3 · 0–2 · 3–1 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Cham	13	+22	34
2	Würzburger FV	13	+9	26
3	Gebenbach	13	+9	26
4	Eintracht Bamberg	13	+11	24
5	Jahn Regensburg II	13	+6	22
6	Fortuna Regensburg	13	+10	21
7	Kornburg	13	+10	21
8	Bayern Hof	13	+5	20
9	Stadeln	13	−3	19
10	Viktoria Aschaffenburg	13	+5	18
11	Neudrossenfeld	13	−6	16
12	Ammerthal	13	−9	14
13	Ingolstadt II	13	−6	13
14	Weiden	13	−9	12
15	DJK Bamberg	13	−14	11
16	Großbardorf	13	−13	10
17	Nordlingen	13	−14	10
18	ASV Neumarkt	13	−13	6