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Kornburg v Cham

Kornburg

18:00Upcoming

Cham

Oberliga - Bayern Nord · FRI 30 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

KornburgDrawCham

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Cham 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Cham are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kornburg 29%, draw 26%, Cham 45%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Kornburg v ChamBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Kornburg win29%

Draw26%

Cham win45%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 18:00

RoundBayern Nord · matchday 17

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kornburg

Cham

14Days since last match7

Last match: 16 Oct · Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Last match: 23 Oct · Oberliga - Bayern Nord

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Cham	16	+29	43
5	Kornburg	15	+14	27

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cham winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Cham a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kornburg v Cham~~1.22 – 1.59

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Bayern Nord this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W6 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 27 v 43~~5 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kornburg win	29%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Cham win	45%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	53%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	31%	–	–
Kornburg or draw	55%	–	–
Kornburg clean sheet	21%	–	–
Cham clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.1%

0123450 6.9 9.1 7.6 4.1 1 6.9 12.1 9.0 4.8 2 4.5 7.0 5.5 2.9 3 2.9 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kornburg down, Cham across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,365 Oberliga - Bayern Nord matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Bayern Nord matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.2% of games this season, across 139 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 3 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Kornburg at home: 2.33 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Cham away: 2.00 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.22 goals for Kornburg, 1.59 for Cham. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 8

~~Both scored~~6 of 8

~~Last meetings~~KOR 1–1 CHA · CHA 0–0 KOR · CHA 5–1 KOR · KOR 4–1 CHA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Bayern Nord this season · since 12 Sept

KORNBURG

LLDWWW0–3 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 5–0 · 2–0 · 3–1

CHAM

WWWWWW3–0 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 5–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Cham	16	+29	43
2	Würzburger FV	16	+13	31
3	Bayern Hof	16	+11	29
4	Eintracht Bamberg	15	+13	28
5	Kornburg	15	+14	27
6	Gebenbach	16	+1	27
7	Jahn Regensburg II	16	+10	26
8	Viktoria Aschaffenburg	16	+6	23
9	Fortuna Regensburg	16	+8	22
10	Stadeln	16	−7	21
11	Neudrossenfeld	16	−5	19
12	Großbardorf	16	−7	19
13	Weiden	16	−8	17
14	Ammerthal	16	−14	15
15	DJK Bamberg	16	−14	14
16	Nordlingen	16	−16	14
17	Ingolstadt II	16	−11	13
18	ASV Neumarkt	16	−23	6