Eintracht Bamberg v Kornburg prediction · Oberliga

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Eintracht Bamberg are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Eintracht Bamberg 48%, draw 26%, Kornburg 26%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Eintracht Bamberg v KornburgBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · postponed, not graded

Eintracht Bamberg win48%

Draw26%

Kornburg win26%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundBayern Nord · matchday 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Eintracht Bamberg

Kornburg

7Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Last match: 16 Oct · Oberliga - Bayern Nord

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Eintracht Bamberg	15	+13	28
5	Kornburg	15	+14	27

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · eintracht bamberg winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · postponed, not graded

48% The market42%

Us48%

~~Market~~42%

We make Eintracht Bamberg a 48% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Eintracht Bamberg v Kornburg~~1.62 – 1.13

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Bayern Nord this season · since 11 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 28 v 27~~3 v 5

~~The market · Eintracht Bamberg win~~42% · ours 48%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Eintracht Bamberg win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 42% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Eintracht Bamberg win	48%	42%	+6
Draw	26%	22%	+4
Kornburg win	26%	36%	−10
Over 2.5 goals	52%	68%	−16
Both teams to score	54%	69%	−15
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	47%	−17
Eintracht Bamberg or draw	74%	64%	+10
Eintracht Bamberg clean sheet	33%	–	–
Kornburg clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.1%

0123450 7.2 6.7 4.1 1 9.8 12.1 6.5 2.5 2 8.3 9.2 5.2 2.0 3 4.5 5.0 2.8 4 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Eintracht Bamberg down, Kornburg across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,365 Oberliga - Bayern Nord matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Bayern Nord matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.2% of games this season, across 139 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 2.75 goals a meeting; 1 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Eintracht Bamberg at home: 1.83 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Kornburg away: 2.00 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.62 goals for Eintracht Bamberg, 1.13 for Kornburg. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~2.75

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~KOR 1–4 EIN · EIN 2–0 KOR · EIN 2–0 KOR · KOR 0–2 EIN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Bayern Nord this season · since 11 Sept

EINTRACHT BAMBERG

LWLDDW0–1 · 3–0 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 3–1

KORNBURG

LLDWWW0–3 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 5–0 · 2–0 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Cham	16	+29	43
2	Bayern Hof	16	+11	29
3	Eintracht Bamberg	15	+13	28
4	Würzburger FV	15	+9	28
5	Kornburg	15	+14	27
6	Gebenbach	16	+1	27
7	Jahn Regensburg II	15	+11	26
8	Viktoria Aschaffenburg	16	+6	23
9	Fortuna Regensburg	15	+9	22
10	Stadeln	15	−3	21
11	Neudrossenfeld	16	−5	19
12	Großbardorf	15	−8	16
13	Ammerthal	16	−14	15
14	Weiden	15	−9	14
15	DJK Bamberg	16	−14	14
16	Ingolstadt II	15	−10	13
17	Nordlingen	15	−17	11
18	ASV Neumarkt	16	−23	6