Home › Football › Oberliga - Bayern Nord › Cham v DJK Bamberg

Cham v DJK Bamberg

Cham

2–1Full time

DJK Bamberg

Oberliga - Bayern Nord · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 20:30

Cham 2–1 DJK Bamberg CHAM WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Cham win~~74%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.107

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Cham win74%

Draw16%

DJK Bamberg win10%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

In the news

from the pressAll ›

Laos footballer arrested in connection with alleged match-fixing for betting syndicateThe Guardian · 1 day ago · Cham

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 18:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cham winPublished 9 Oct 20:02

74% The market–

Us74%

We make Cham a 74% chance to win. The model expects 2.5–0.8, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Cham win	74%	–	–
Draw	16%	–	–
DJK Bamberg win	10%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	63%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	41%	–	–
Cham or draw	90%	–	–
Cham clean sheet	46%	–	–
DJK Bamberg clean sheet	9%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 11.6%

0123450 4.4 2.9 1 9.4 7.7 3.0 2 11.6 8.8 3.5 3 9.5 7.2 2.8 4 6.0 4.5 5 3.2 2.3

under 2% 5% 12%+Cham down, DJK Bamberg across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,343 Oberliga - Bayern Nord matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Bayern Nord matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.7% of games this season, across 117 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 5.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Cham at home: 2.67 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). DJK Bamberg away: 1.17 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.49 goals for Cham, 0.78 for DJK Bamberg. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~5.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~CHA 4–1 DJK · DJK 2–3 CHA

Form · last six in Oberliga - Bayern Nord

CHAM

WWDWWW3–2 · 4–1 · 2–2 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 1–0

DJK BAMBERG

LWWDDD0–3 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Cham	13	+22	34
2	Würzburger FV	13	+9	26
3	Gebenbach	13	+9	26
4	Eintracht Bamberg	13	+11	24
5	Jahn Regensburg II	13	+6	22
6	Fortuna Regensburg	13	+10	21
7	Kornburg	13	+10	21
8	Bayern Hof	13	+5	20
9	Stadeln	13	−3	19
10	Viktoria Aschaffenburg	13	+5	18
11	Neudrossenfeld	13	−6	16
12	Ammerthal	13	−9	14
13	Ingolstadt II	13	−6	13
14	Weiden	13	−9	12
15	DJK Bamberg	13	−14	11
16	Großbardorf	13	−13	10
17	Nordlingen	13	−14	10
18	ASV Neumarkt	13	−13	6