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Cham v ASV Neumarkt

Cham
5–1Full time
ASV Neumarkt

Oberliga - Bayern Nord · FRI 23 OCT

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 20:31
Cham 5–1 ASV Neumarkt CHAM WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Cham win65%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.182

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Cham are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Cham 65%, draw 20%, ASV Neumarkt 15%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Cham v ASV NeumarktBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Cham win65%
Draw20%
ASV Neumarkt win15%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 18:00

RoundBayern Nord · matchday 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Cham

ASV Neumarkt

5Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Last match: 17 Oct · Oberliga - Bayern Nord

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Cham15+2540
18ASV Neumarkt15−196

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cham winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · updated 18 Oct 00:17 · locked at kick-off
65% The market–
Us65%

We make Cham a 65% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–0.9, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Cham v ASV Neumarkt2.20 – 0.94
Form · last six in Oberliga - Bayern Nord this season · since 12 SeptW5 D1 L0 · W1 D1 L4
Table places · points 40 v 61 v 18

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
60%65%70% 17 OCT 00:0123 OCT 17:41
Our probability · Cham win

Published at 64%, 65% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Cham win65%––
Draw20%––
ASV Neumarkt win15%––
Over 2.5 goals60%––
Both teams to score54%––
Over 1.5 goals82%––
Over 3.5 goals38%––
Cham or draw85%––
Cham clean sheet40%––
ASV Neumarkt clean sheet12%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.4%
0123450 5.0 3.8 1 9.3 9.3 4.2 2 10.4 9.5 4.5 3 7.6 6.9 3.3 4 4.3 3.9 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Cham down, ASV Neumarkt across0–5 goals a side shown (97.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022/23
Goals a meeting2.62
Over 2.54 of 8
Both scored5 of 8
Last meetingsCHA 2–0 ASV · ASV 1–0 CHA · CHA 3–1 ASV · ASV 2–1 CHA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Bayern Nord this season · since 12 Sept

CHAM

DWWWWW2–2 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 2–0

ASV NEUMARKT

WLDLLL3–1 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 0–4 · 1–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Cham15+2540
2Eintracht Bamberg15+1328
3Würzburger FV15+928
4Kornburg15+1427
5Jahn Regensburg II15+1126
6Bayern Hof15+1026
7Gebenbach15+126
8Fortuna Regensburg15+922
9Viktoria Aschaffenburg15+622
10Stadeln15−321
11Neudrossenfeld15−419
12Großbardorf15−816
13Ammerthal15−1115
14Weiden15−914
15Ingolstadt II15−1013
16DJK Bamberg15−1711
17Nordlingen15−1711
18ASV Neumarkt15−196

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.