Türkspor Neckarsulm v Normannia Gmünd prediction · Oberliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Türkspor NeckarsulmDrawNormannia Gmünd

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Türkspor Neckarsulm 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Türkspor Neckarsulm just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Türkspor Neckarsulm 40%, draw 24%, Normannia Gmünd 36%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Türkspor Neckarsulm v Normannia GmündBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Türkspor Neckarsulm win40%

Draw24%

Normannia Gmünd win36%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundBaden-Württemberg · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Türkspor Neckarsulm

Normannia Gmünd

8Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
17	Türkspor Neckarsulm	12	−20	9
18	Normannia Gmünd	12	−25	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · türkspor neckarsulm winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Türkspor Neckarsulm a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Türkspor Neckarsulm v Normannia Gmünd~~1.76 – 1.66

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D0 L5 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 9 v 3~~17 v 18

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Türkspor Neckarsulm win	40%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Normannia Gmünd win	36%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
Türkspor Neckarsulm or draw	64%	–	–
Türkspor Neckarsulm clean sheet	19%	–	–
Normannia Gmünd clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.2%

0123450 4.2 4.8 4.6 2.5 1 5.1 10.2 7.8 4.3 2 5.1 8.2 6.7 3.8 3 3.0 4.8 4.0 2.2 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Türkspor Neckarsulm down, Normannia Gmünd across0–5 goals a side shown (98.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,718 Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.1% of games this season, across 114 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Türkspor Neckarsulm at home: 1.17 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Normannia Gmünd away: 0.33 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.76 goals for Türkspor Neckarsulm, 1.66 for Normannia Gmünd. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~TUR 2–3 NOR · NOR 2–0 TUR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg this season · since 12 Sept

TÜRKSPOR NECKARSULM

WLLLLL2–1 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 0–10 · 2–3 · 0–3

NORMANNIA GMÜND

LLLWLL1–4 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 3–2 · 1–3 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Oberachern	13	+17	29
2	Backnang	13	+17	28
3	FC 08 Villingen	13	+8	26
4	Reutlingen	13	+7	26
5	Bahlinger SC	13	+5	23
6	Young Boys Reutlingen	13	+9	22
7	FV Ravensburg	13	+9	19
8	Karlsruhe II	12	+1	19
9	1. FC Muhlhausen	12	−2	17
10	CFR Pforzheim	13	−3	17
11	FC Holzhausen	13	−3	17
12	Essingen	13	−5	15
13	TSV Singen	13	−8	14
14	Balingen	13	−3	13
15	FC Nöttingen	12	+7	12
16	Teningen	12	−11	12
17	Türkspor Neckarsulm	12	−20	9
18	Normannia Gmünd	12	−25	3