Türkspor Neckarsulm v FC 08 Villingen prediction · Oberliga

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 15:46

Türkspor Neckarsulm 2–3 FC 08 Villingen FC 08 VILLINGEN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said FC 08 Villingen win~~52%

~~The market said~~54%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.343

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.319

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Türkspor Neckarsulm win25%

Draw23%

FC 08 Villingen win52%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Türkspor Neckarsulm

FC 08 Villingen

8Days since last match8

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	FC 08 Villingen	10	+10	20
17	Türkspor Neckarsulm	10	−16	9

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fc 08 villingen winPublished 11 Oct 15:13

52% The market54%

Us52%

~~Market~~54%

We make FC 08 Villingen a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 54%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.3–2.0.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · fc 08 villingen win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 54% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Türkspor Neckarsulm win	25%	24%	+1
Draw	23%	22%	+1
FC 08 Villingen win	52%	54%	−2
Over 2.5 goals	65%	63%	+1
Both teams to score	64%	63%	+1
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	43%	41%	+2
Türkspor Neckarsulm or draw	48%	46%	+2
Türkspor Neckarsulm clean sheet	14%	–	–
FC 08 Villingen clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.0%

0123450 4.3 6.4 7.0 4.7 2.4 1 4.1 10.0 9.2 6.2 3.2 2 3.2 6.2 6.2 4.1 2.1 3 2.8 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Türkspor Neckarsulm down, FC 08 Villingen across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,699 Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.5% of games this season, across 95 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Türkspor Neckarsulm at home: 1.17 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). FC 08 Villingen away: 2.50 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.35 goals for Türkspor Neckarsulm, 2.02 for FC 08 Villingen. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~TUR 3–0 FCV · FCV 0–2 TUR

Form · last six in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

TÜRKSPOR NECKARSULM

WLWLLL1–0 · 2–3 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 0–10

FC 08 VILLINGEN

WWDWDW1–0 · 1–0 · 3–3 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Oberachern	11	+13	23
2	Backnang	10	+13	21
3	FC 08 Villingen	10	+10	20
4	Reutlingen	11	+3	20
5	Young Boys Reutlingen	10	+10	19
6	CFR Pforzheim	11	+2	17
7	FC Holzhausen	11	+1	17
8	Bahlinger SC	11	0	17
9	FV Ravensburg	11	+5	16
10	1. FC Muhlhausen	10	−1	16
11	Karlsruhe II	10	−2	13
12	Balingen	11	−1	12
13	Essingen	11	−5	12
14	Teningen	11	−9	12
15	TSV Singen	10	−6	10
16	FC Nöttingen	11	+4	9
17	Türkspor Neckarsulm	10	−16	9
18	Normannia Gmünd	10	−21	3