Teningen v Karlsruhe II prediction · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28

Teningen 2–4 Karlsruhe II KARLSRUHE II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Karlsruhe II win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.522

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Karlsruhe II are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Teningen 37%, draw 22%, Karlsruhe II 42%. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 73%.

The AI’s read on Teningen v Karlsruhe IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Teningen win37%

Draw22%

Karlsruhe II win42%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:30

RoundBaden-Württemberg · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Teningen

Karlsruhe II

7Days since last match6

Last match: 10 Oct · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Last match: 11 Oct · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Karlsruhe II	11	−1	16
15	Teningen	11	−9	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · karlsruhe ii winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Karlsruhe II a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–2.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Teningen v Karlsruhe II~~1.89 – 2.02

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg this season · since 9 Sept~~W3 D0 L3 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 12 v 16~~15 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Teningen win	37%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Karlsruhe II win	42%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	74%	–	–
Both teams to score	73%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	54%	–	–
Teningen or draw	58%	–	–
Teningen clean sheet	14%	–	–
Karlsruhe II clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.2%

0123450 2.8 3.7 4.2 2.8 1 3.4 8.2 7.5 5.1 2.6 2 3.7 7.1 7.0 4.7 2.4 3 2.3 4.5 4.4 2.9 4 2.1 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Teningen down, Karlsruhe II across0–5 goals a side shown (96.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,705 Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.3% of games this season, across 101 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Teningen at home: 1.20 scored, 2.60 conceded a game (last 5). Karlsruhe II away: 1.50 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.89 goals for Teningen, 2.02 for Karlsruhe II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg this season · since 9 Sept

TENINGEN

WLWWLL2–1 · 3–4 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 0–5 · 2–3

KARLSRUHE II

DLDWWW0–0 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 3–2 · 2–1 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Oberachern	11	+13	23
2	FC 08 Villingen	12	+6	23
3	Backnang	11	+13	22
4	Young Boys Reutlingen	11	+12	22
5	Reutlingen	11	+3	20
6	FV Ravensburg	12	+10	19
7	FC Holzhausen	11	+1	17
8	Bahlinger SC	11	0	17
9	CFR Pforzheim	12	−1	17
10	Karlsruhe II	11	−1	16
11	1. FC Muhlhausen	11	−2	16
12	FC Nöttingen	12	+7	12
13	Balingen	11	−1	12
14	Essingen	11	−5	12
15	Teningen	11	−9	12
16	TSV Singen	11	−6	11
17	Türkspor Neckarsulm	11	−17	9
18	Normannia Gmünd	11	−23	3