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Karlsruhe II v 1. FC Muhlhausen

Karlsruhe II

3–2Full time

1. FC Muhlhausen

Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:56

Karlsruhe II 3–2 1. FC Muhlhausen KARLSRUHE II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Karlsruhe II win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.460

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match pulse

FULL TIME

Match outcome probability (%)

Karlsruhe IIDraw1. FC Muhlhausen

Our model, re-priced from the score and the clock at every minuteFull time

Full time · Karlsruhe II 3–2 1. FC Muhlhausen

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Karlsruhe II

1. FC Muhlhausen

7Days since last match9

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	1. FC Muhlhausen	10	−1	16
11	Karlsruhe II	10	−2	13

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Karlsruhe II win45%

Draw21%

1. FC Muhlhausen win34%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · karlsruhe ii winPublished 11 Oct 16:29

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Karlsruhe II a 45% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Karlsruhe II win	45%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
1. FC Muhlhausen win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	77%	–	–
Both teams to score	75%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	58%	–	–
Karlsruhe II or draw	66%	–	–
Karlsruhe II clean sheet	16%	–	–
1. FC Muhlhausen clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 7.5%

0123450 2.4 2.8 3.1 1 3.3 7.5 6.5 4.1 2 4.1 7.4 6.9 4.4 2.1 3 3.0 5.4 5.0 3.2 4 3.0 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Karlsruhe II down, 1. FC Muhlhausen across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,699 Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.5% of games this season, across 95 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Karlsruhe II at home: 2.00 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). 1. FC Muhlhausen away: 2.00 scored, 2.40 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

2.20 goals for Karlsruhe II, 1.90 for 1. FC Muhlhausen. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

KARLSRUHE II

DDLDWW2–2 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 3–2 · 2–1

1. FC MUHLHAUSEN

WWDWLL4–1 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 1–3 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Oberachern	11	+13	23
2	Backnang	10	+13	21
3	FC 08 Villingen	10	+10	20
4	Reutlingen	11	+3	20
5	Young Boys Reutlingen	10	+10	19
6	CFR Pforzheim	11	+2	17
7	FC Holzhausen	11	+1	17
8	Bahlinger SC	11	0	17
9	FV Ravensburg	11	+5	16
10	1. FC Muhlhausen	10	−1	16
11	Karlsruhe II	10	−2	13
12	Balingen	11	−1	12
13	Essingen	11	−5	12
14	Teningen	11	−9	12
15	TSV Singen	10	−6	10
16	FC Nöttingen	11	+4	9
17	Türkspor Neckarsulm	10	−16	9
18	Normannia Gmünd	10	−21	3