FC Nöttingen v 1. FC Muhlhausen prediction · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

FC NöttingenDraw1. FC Muhlhausen

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · FC Nöttingen 62%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FC Nöttingen are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: FC Nöttingen 62%, draw 17%, 1. FC Muhlhausen 21%. Over 2.5 goals 84%, both teams to score 77%.

The AI’s read on FC Nöttingen v 1. FC MuhlhausenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

FC Nöttingen win62%

Draw17%

1. FC Muhlhausen win21%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 18:00

RoundBaden-Württemberg · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FC Nöttingen

1. FC Muhlhausen

14Days since last match12

Last match: 16 Oct · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	1. FC Muhlhausen	12	−2	17
15	FC Nöttingen	12	+7	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fc nöttingen winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

62% The market–

Us62%

We make FC Nöttingen a 62% chance to win. The model expects 3.0–1.7, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · FC Nöttingen v 1. FC Muhlhausen~~2.97 – 1.72

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D0 L3 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 12 v 17~~15 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
FC Nöttingen win	62%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
1. FC Muhlhausen win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	84%	–	–
Both teams to score	77%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	95%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	68%	–	–
FC Nöttingen or draw	79%	–	–
FC Nöttingen clean sheet	19%	–	–
1. FC Muhlhausen clean sheet	6%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 6.9%

0123450 1 2.5 5.3 4.1 2.4 2 4.1 6.9 5.8 3.4 3 4.0 6.6 5.6 3.2 4 2.9 4.9 4.1 2.4 5 2.9 2.5

under 2% 5% 12%+FC Nöttingen down, 1. FC Muhlhausen across0–5 goals a side shown (90.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,713 Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.5% of games this season, across 109 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

FC Nöttingen at home: 3.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). 1. FC Muhlhausen away: 2.00 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.97 goals for FC Nöttingen, 1.72 for 1. FC Muhlhausen. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg this season · since 12 Sept

FC NÖTTINGEN

LLLWWW3–4 · 2–3 · 1–2 · 10–0 · 3–1 · 4–1

1. FC MUHLHAUSEN

DWLLLD2–2 · 2–1 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 2–3 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Oberachern	12	+16	26
2	Backnang	12	+15	25
3	FC 08 Villingen	12	+6	23
4	Reutlingen	12	+6	23
5	Young Boys Reutlingen	12	+10	22
6	Bahlinger SC	12	+3	20
7	FV Ravensburg	12	+10	19
8	Karlsruhe II	12	+1	19
9	CFR Pforzheim	12	−1	17
10	1. FC Muhlhausen	12	−2	17
11	FC Holzhausen	13	−3	17
12	Essingen	12	−3	15
13	TSV Singen	13	−8	14
14	Balingen	12	−1	13
15	FC Nöttingen	12	+7	12
16	Teningen	12	−11	12
17	Türkspor Neckarsulm	12	−20	9
18	Normannia Gmünd	12	−25	3