FC Holzhausen v Bahlinger SC prediction · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28

FC Holzhausen 0–3 Bahlinger SC FC HOLZHAUSEN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said FC Holzhausen win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.711

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FC Holzhausen are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: FC Holzhausen 43%, draw 25%, Bahlinger SC 32%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on FC Holzhausen v Bahlinger SCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

FC Holzhausen win43%

Draw25%

Bahlinger SC win32%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:30

RoundBaden-Württemberg · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FC Holzhausen

Bahlinger SC

8Days since last match7

Last match: 9 Oct · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Last match: 10 Oct · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	FC Holzhausen	11	+1	17
8	Bahlinger SC	11	0	17

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fc holzhausen winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make FC Holzhausen a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · FC Holzhausen v Bahlinger SC~~1.64 – 1.38

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg this season · since 9 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 17 v 17~~7 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
FC Holzhausen win	43%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Bahlinger SC win	32%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	36%	–	–
FC Holzhausen or draw	68%	–	–
FC Holzhausen clean sheet	26%	–	–
Bahlinger SC clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%

0123450 6.1 6.1 4.7 2.2 1 7.3 11.6 7.4 3.5 2 6.5 8.7 5.9 2.8 3 3.6 4.8 3.3 4 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+FC Holzhausen down, Bahlinger SC across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,705 Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.3% of games this season, across 101 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2022/23.

Home and away form

FC Holzhausen at home: 1.17 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Bahlinger SC away: 1.40 scored, 2.20 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.64 goals for FC Holzhausen, 1.38 for Bahlinger SC. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2022/23

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2022/23.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg this season · since 9 Sept

FC HOLZHAUSEN

LLWDLW0–1 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 0–3 · 3–1

BAHLINGER SC

WDDWLW1–0 · 3–3 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 1–3 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Oberachern	11	+13	23
2	FC 08 Villingen	12	+6	23
3	Backnang	11	+13	22
4	Young Boys Reutlingen	11	+12	22
5	Reutlingen	11	+3	20
6	FV Ravensburg	12	+10	19
7	FC Holzhausen	11	+1	17
8	Bahlinger SC	11	0	17
9	CFR Pforzheim	12	−1	17
10	Karlsruhe II	11	−1	16
11	1. FC Muhlhausen	11	−2	16
12	FC Nöttingen	12	+7	12
13	Balingen	11	−1	12
14	Essingen	11	−5	12
15	Teningen	11	−9	12
16	TSV Singen	11	−6	11
17	Türkspor Neckarsulm	11	−17	9
18	Normannia Gmünd	11	−23	3