FC 08 Villingen v FV Ravensburg prediction · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 21:01

FC 08 Villingen 0–5 FV Ravensburg FC 08 VILLINGEN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said FC 08 Villingen win~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.793

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FC 08 Villingen are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: FC 08 Villingen 47%, draw 25%, FV Ravensburg 28%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on FC 08 Villingen v FV RavensburgBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

FC 08 Villingen win47%

Draw25%

FV Ravensburg win28%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 18:00

RoundBaden-Württemberg · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FC 08 Villingen

FV Ravensburg

5Days since last match6

Last match: 11 Oct · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Last match: 10 Oct · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	FC 08 Villingen	11	+11	23
9	FV Ravensburg	11	+5	16

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fc 08 villingen winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · updated 11 Oct 04:02 · locked at kick-off

47% The market–

Us47%

We make FC 08 Villingen a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · FC 08 Villingen v FV Ravensburg~~1.75 – 1.32

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg this season · since 9 Sept~~W4 D2 L0 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 23 v 16~~2 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · FC 08 Villingen win

Published at 45%, 47% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
FC 08 Villingen win	47%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
FV Ravensburg win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	59%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	37%	–	–
FC 08 Villingen or draw	72%	–	–
FC 08 Villingen clean sheet	27%	–	–
FV Ravensburg clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.4%

0123450 5.7 5.4 4.1 1 7.4 11.4 7.0 3.1 2 7.1 9.2 6.0 2.7 3 4.2 5.4 3.5 4 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+FC 08 Villingen down, FV Ravensburg across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,703 Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.7% of games this season, across 99 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.88 goals a meeting; 4 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

FC 08 Villingen at home: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). FV Ravensburg away: 1.33 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.75 goals for FC 08 Villingen, 1.32 for FV Ravensburg. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.88

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 8

~~Both scored~~5 of 8

~~Last meetings~~FCV 1–0 FVR · FVR 1–3 FCV · FCV 1–1 FVR · FVR 3–2 FCV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg this season · since 9 Sept

FC 08 VILLINGEN

WDWDWW1–0 · 3–3 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 3–2

FV RAVENSBURG

DWDWWL2–2 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 5–0 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Oberachern	11	+13	23
2	FC 08 Villingen	11	+11	23
3	Backnang	11	+13	22
4	Young Boys Reutlingen	11	+12	22
5	Reutlingen	11	+3	20
6	CFR Pforzheim	11	+2	17
7	FC Holzhausen	11	+1	17
8	Bahlinger SC	11	0	17
9	FV Ravensburg	11	+5	16
10	Karlsruhe II	11	−1	16
11	1. FC Muhlhausen	11	−2	16
12	Balingen	11	−1	12
13	Essingen	11	−5	12
14	Teningen	11	−9	12
15	TSV Singen	11	−6	11
16	FC Nöttingen	11	+4	9
17	Türkspor Neckarsulm	11	−17	9
18	Normannia Gmünd	11	−23	3