CFR Pforzheim v FC 08 Villingen prediction · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38

CFR Pforzheim 0–2 FC 08 Villingen CFR PFORZHEIM WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said CFR Pforzheim win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.666

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

CFR Pforzheim are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: CFR Pforzheim 43%, draw 23%, FC 08 Villingen 34%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 70%.

The AI’s read on CFR Pforzheim v FC 08 VillingenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

CFR Pforzheim win43%

Draw23%

FC 08 Villingen win34%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundBaden-Württemberg · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

CFR Pforzheim

FC 08 Villingen

8Days since last match8

Last match: 16 Oct · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	FC 08 Villingen	12	+6	23
9	CFR Pforzheim	12	−1	17

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cfr pforzheim winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make CFR Pforzheim a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · CFR Pforzheim v FC 08 Villingen~~1.92 – 1.71

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D0 L4 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 17 v 23~~9 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
CFR Pforzheim win	43%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
FC 08 Villingen win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	70%	–	–
Both teams to score	70%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	49%	–	–
CFR Pforzheim or draw	66%	–	–
CFR Pforzheim clean sheet	19%	–	–
FC 08 Villingen clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.4%

0123450 3.5 3.9 3.9 2.3 1 4.5 9.4 7.3 4.2 2 4.9 8.2 6.9 3.9 3 3.2 5.2 4.4 2.5 4 2.6 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+CFR Pforzheim down, FC 08 Villingen across0–5 goals a side shown (97.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,713 Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.5% of games this season, across 109 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.25 goals a meeting; 5 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

CFR Pforzheim at home: 2.00 scored, 2.67 conceded a game (last 6). FC 08 Villingen away: 2.67 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.92 goals for CFR Pforzheim, 1.71 for FC 08 Villingen. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.25

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 8

~~Both scored~~6 of 8

~~Last meetings~~FCV 2–2 CFR · CFR 1–1 FCV · FCV 3–2 CFR · CFR 2–2 FCV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg this season · since 12 Sept

CFR PFORZHEIM

LLWLWL1–2 · 2–3 · 2–0 · 1–5 · 3–2 · 1–4

FC 08 VILLINGEN

DWDWWL3–3 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 3–2 · 0–5

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Oberachern	12	+16	26
2	Backnang	12	+15	25
3	FC 08 Villingen	12	+6	23
4	Reutlingen	12	+6	23
5	Young Boys Reutlingen	12	+10	22
6	Bahlinger SC	12	+3	20
7	FV Ravensburg	12	+10	19
8	Karlsruhe II	12	+1	19
9	CFR Pforzheim	12	−1	17
10	1. FC Muhlhausen	12	−2	17
11	FC Holzhausen	13	−3	17
12	Essingen	12	−3	15
13	TSV Singen	13	−8	14
14	Balingen	12	−1	13
15	FC Nöttingen	12	+7	12
16	Teningen	12	−11	12
17	Türkspor Neckarsulm	12	−20	9
18	Normannia Gmünd	12	−25	3