Balingen v Bahlinger SC prediction · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 17:24

Balingen 0–2 Bahlinger SC BALINGEN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Balingen win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.765

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Balingen are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Balingen 45%, draw 25%, Bahlinger SC 30%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Balingen v Bahlinger SCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Balingen win45%

Draw25%

Bahlinger SC win30%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:30

RoundBaden-Württemberg · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Balingen

Bahlinger SC

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Last match: 17 Oct · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Bahlinger SC	12	+3	20
14	Balingen	12	−1	13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · balingen winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Balingen a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Balingen v Bahlinger SC~~1.73 – 1.35

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D3 L2 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 13 v 20~~14 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Balingen win

Published at 46%, 45% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Balingen win	45%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Bahlinger SC win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	59%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	37%	–	–
Balingen or draw	70%	–	–
Balingen clean sheet	27%	–	–
Bahlinger SC clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.4%

0123450 5.8 5.5 4.3 1 7.3 11.4 7.1 3.2 2 6.9 8.9 6.0 2.7 3 4.0 5.1 3.4 4 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Balingen down, Bahlinger SC across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,713 Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.5% of games this season, across 109 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.62 goals a meeting; 6 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Balingen at home: 1.50 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Bahlinger SC away: 1.67 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.73 goals for Balingen, 1.35 for Bahlinger SC. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.62

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 8

~~Both scored~~5 of 8

~~Last meetings~~BAL 1–2 BAH · BAH 4–3 BAL · BAH 2–0 BAL · BAL 0–0 BAH

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg this season · since 12 Sept

BALINGEN

DWDLLD1–1 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 1–3 · 0–0

BAHLINGER SC

DDWLWW3–3 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 1–3 · 1–0 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Oberachern	12	+16	26
2	Backnang	12	+15	25
3	FC 08 Villingen	12	+6	23
4	Reutlingen	12	+6	23
5	Young Boys Reutlingen	12	+10	22
6	Bahlinger SC	12	+3	20
7	FV Ravensburg	12	+10	19
8	Karlsruhe II	12	+1	19
9	CFR Pforzheim	12	−1	17
10	1. FC Muhlhausen	12	−2	17
11	FC Holzhausen	13	−3	17
12	Essingen	12	−3	15
13	TSV Singen	13	−8	14
14	Balingen	12	−1	13
15	FC Nöttingen	12	+7	12
16	Teningen	12	−11	12
17	Türkspor Neckarsulm	12	−20	9
18	Normannia Gmünd	12	−25	3