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Bahlinger SC v Oberachern

Bahlinger SC

1–0Full time

Oberachern

Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33

Bahlinger SC 1–0 Oberachern OBERACHERN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Oberachern win~~39%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.641

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Bahlinger SC win35%

Draw25%

Oberachern win39%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · oberachern winPublished 10 Oct 16:37

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Oberachern a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bahlinger SC win	35%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Oberachern win	39%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	36%	–	–
Bahlinger SC or draw	61%	–	–
Bahlinger SC clean sheet	21%	–	–
Oberachern clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%

0123450 5.9 6.8 5.9 3.1 1 6.3 11.6 8.4 4.4 2 5.2 7.9 6.1 3.2 3 2.6 3.9 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bahlinger SC down, Oberachern across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,695 Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.3% of games this season, across 91 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Bahlinger SC at home: 1.60 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 5). Oberachern away: 2.00 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.47 goals for Bahlinger SC, 1.58 for Oberachern. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

BAHLINGER SC

WWDDWL2–1 · 1–0 · 3–3 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 1–3

OBERACHERN

LWWDDW0–1 · 2–0 · 4–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Oberachern	10	+14	23
2	Backnang	10	+13	21
3	FC 08 Villingen	10	+10	20
4	Reutlingen	10	+5	20
5	Young Boys Reutlingen	10	+10	19
6	FC Holzhausen	11	+1	17
7	FV Ravensburg	10	+7	16
8	1. FC Muhlhausen	10	−1	16
9	CFR Pforzheim	10	+1	14
10	Bahlinger SC	10	−1	14
11	Karlsruhe II	10	−2	13
12	Balingen	11	−1	12
13	Teningen	10	−8	12
14	TSV Singen	10	−6	10
15	Essingen	10	−7	9
16	Türkspor Neckarsulm	10	−16	9
17	FC Nöttingen	10	+2	6
18	Normannia Gmünd	10	−21	3