Backnang v Young Boys Reutlingen prediction · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 15:35

Backnang 3–1 Young Boys Reutlingen YOUNG BOYS REUTLINGEN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Young Boys Reutlingen win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.624

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Young Boys Reutlingen just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Backnang 36%, draw 23%, Young Boys Reutlingen 40%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on Backnang v Young Boys ReutlingenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Backnang win36%

Draw23%

Young Boys Reutlingen win40%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundBaden-Württemberg · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Backnang

Young Boys Reutlingen

6Days since last match6

Last match: 11 Oct · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Backnang	11	+13	22
4	Young Boys Reutlingen	11	+12	22

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · young boys reutlingen winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Young Boys Reutlingen a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Backnang v Young Boys Reutlingen~~1.70 – 1.80

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg this season · since 9 Sept~~W2 D4 L0 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 22 v 22~~3 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Young Boys Reutlingen win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Backnang win	36%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Young Boys Reutlingen win	40%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	46%	–	–
Backnang or draw	60%	–	–
Backnang clean sheet	17%	–	–
Young Boys Reutlingen clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.8%

0123450 4.0 4.9 5.0 3.0 1 4.6 9.8 8.1 4.9 2.3 2 4.4 7.6 6.8 4.1 3 2.5 4.3 3.8 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Backnang down, Young Boys Reutlingen across0–5 goals a side shown (97.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,705 Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.3% of games this season, across 101 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Backnang at home: 2.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Young Boys Reutlingen away: 2.40 scored, 1.20 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.70 goals for Backnang, 1.80 for Young Boys Reutlingen. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg this season · since 9 Sept

BACKNANG

WDDDWD3–2 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 3–1 · 0–0

YOUNG BOYS REUTLINGEN

WWDDWW4–3 · 3–2 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 5–1 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Oberachern	11	+13	23
2	FC 08 Villingen	12	+6	23
3	Backnang	11	+13	22
4	Young Boys Reutlingen	11	+12	22
5	Reutlingen	11	+3	20
6	FV Ravensburg	12	+10	19
7	FC Holzhausen	11	+1	17
8	Bahlinger SC	11	0	17
9	CFR Pforzheim	12	−1	17
10	Karlsruhe II	11	−1	16
11	1. FC Muhlhausen	11	−2	16
12	FC Nöttingen	12	+7	12
13	Balingen	11	−1	12
14	Essingen	11	−5	12
15	Teningen	11	−9	12
16	TSV Singen	11	−6	11
17	Türkspor Neckarsulm	11	−17	9
18	Normannia Gmünd	11	−23	3