1. FC Muhlhausen v Balingen prediction · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 18:02

1. FC Muhlhausen 0–0 Balingen BALINGEN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Balingen win~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.939

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Balingen are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: 1. FC Muhlhausen 35%, draw 21%, Balingen 44%. Over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 75%.

The AI’s read on 1. FC Muhlhausen v BalingenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

1. FC Muhlhausen win35%

Draw21%

Balingen win44%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

RoundBaden-Württemberg · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

1. FC Muhlhausen

Balingen

7Days since last match9

Last match: 11 Oct · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Last match: 9 Oct · Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	1. FC Muhlhausen	11	−2	16
14	Balingen	11	−1	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · balingen winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Balingen a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–2.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · 1. FC Muhlhausen v Balingen~~1.93 – 2.18

~~Form · last six in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg this season · since 9 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 16 v 12~~11 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
1. FC Muhlhausen win	35%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Balingen win	44%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	77%	–	–
Both teams to score	75%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	58%	–	–
1. FC Muhlhausen or draw	56%	–	–
1. FC Muhlhausen clean sheet	12%	–	–
Balingen clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 7.5%

0123450 2.4 3.2 4.0 2.9 1 2.8 7.5 7.3 5.3 2.9 2 3.2 6.6 6.9 4.9 2.7 3 2.0 4.2 4.4 3.2 4 2.1 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+1. FC Muhlhausen down, Balingen across0–5 goals a side shown (95.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,711 Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.9% of games this season, across 107 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

1. FC Muhlhausen at home: 2.40 scored, 2.20 conceded a game (last 5). Balingen away: 1.67 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.93 goals for 1. FC Muhlhausen, 2.18 for Balingen. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg this season · since 9 Sept

1. FC MUHLHAUSEN

WDWLLL2–1 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 2–3

BALINGEN

DDWDLL2–2 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Oberachern	12	+16	26
2	Backnang	12	+15	25
3	FC 08 Villingen	12	+6	23
4	Reutlingen	12	+6	23
5	Young Boys Reutlingen	12	+10	22
6	Bahlinger SC	12	+3	20
7	FV Ravensburg	12	+10	19
8	Karlsruhe II	12	+1	19
9	CFR Pforzheim	12	−1	17
10	FC Holzhausen	12	−2	17
11	1. FC Muhlhausen	11	−2	16
12	Essingen	12	−3	15
13	FC Nöttingen	12	+7	12
14	Balingen	11	−1	12
15	Teningen	12	−11	12
16	TSV Singen	12	−9	11
17	Türkspor Neckarsulm	12	−20	9
18	Normannia Gmünd	12	−25	3