Werder Bremen W v 1899 Hoffenheim W prediction · Frauen Bundesliga

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

1899 Hoffenheim W are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Werder Bremen W 35%, draw 25%, 1899 Hoffenheim W 40%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Werder Bremen W v 1899 Hoffenheim WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

Werder Bremen W win35%

Draw25%

1899 Hoffenheim W win40%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 7

VenueWeserstadion Platz 11

RefereeDavina Lutz

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Werder Bremen W

1899 Hoffenheim W

16Days since last match14

Last match: 2 Oct · Frauen Bundesliga

Last match: 4 Oct · Frauen Bundesliga

0Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Werder Bremen W	6	+2	10
11	1899 Hoffenheim W	6	−3	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · 1899 hoffenheim w winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

40% The market30%

Us40%

~~Market~~30%

We make 1899 Hoffenheim W a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 30%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.5.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Werder Bremen W v 1899 Hoffenheim W~~1.38 – 1.50

~~Form · Frauen Bundesliga this season · since 23 Aug~~W3 D1 L2 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 10 v 6~~7 v 11

~~The market · 1899 Hoffenheim W win~~30% · ours 40%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · 1899 Hoffenheim W win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 30% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Werder Bremen W win	35%	44%	−9
Draw	25%	25%	0
1899 Hoffenheim W win	40%	30%	+10
Over 2.5 goals	54%	61%	−7
Both teams to score	57%	63%	−6
Over 1.5 goals	78%	80%	−2
Over 3.5 goals	33%	41%	−8
Werder Bremen W or draw	60%	70%	−10
Werder Bremen W clean sheet	23%	–	–
1899 Hoffenheim W clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.5%

0123450 6.3 8.4 6.3 3.2 1 7.7 11.5 8.4 4.2 2 5.4 7.7 5.7 2.9 3 2.5 3.6 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Werder Bremen W down, 1899 Hoffenheim W across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 755 Frauen Bundesliga matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Frauen Bundesliga matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.4% of games this season, across 45 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.60 goals a meeting; 4 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Werder Bremen W at home: 1.83 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). 1899 Hoffenheim W away: 1.50 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.38 goals for Werder Bremen W, 1.50 for 1899 Hoffenheim W. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.60

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~HOF 0–0 WER · WER 2–1 HOF · WER 1–0 HOF · HOF 1–0 WER

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Frauen Bundesliga this season · since 23 Aug

WERDER BREMEN W

WWLWDL2–1 · 2–0 · 2–3 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 2–3

1899 HOFFENHEIM W

LLLLWW1–2 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 2–4 · 2–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bayern Munich W	6	+13	18
2	VfL Wolfsburg W	6	+10	15
3	Eintracht Frankfurt W	7	+5	14
4	Bayer Leverkusen W	7	+3	13
5	FC Koln W	7	+4	12
6	RB Leipzig W	7	+4	10
7	Werder Bremen W	6	+2	10
8	SC Freiburg W	7	−2	10
9	Stuttgart W	6	−4	8
10	Union Berlin W	6	−3	6
11	1899 Hoffenheim W	6	−3	6
12	Hamburger SV W	7	−1	5
13	Nürnberg W	6	−12	2
14	Mainz 05 W	6	−16	0