Stuttgart W v Eintracht Frankfurt W prediction · Frauen Bundesliga

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38

Stuttgart W 0–3 Eintracht Frankfurt W EINTRACHT FRANKFURT W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Eintracht Frankfurt W win~~66%

~~The market said~~73%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.172

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.109

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay14 notes · 23 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Eintracht Frankfurt W win at 66%.
1′KICK-OFF Stuttgart W v Eintracht Frankfurt W
2′Much as we predicted: Eintracht Frankfurt W was 66% before kick-off and our model makes it 66% now. 0–0 · 17–18–66
36′7 shots for Eintracht Frankfurt W, 2 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 18–26–57
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Eintracht Frankfurt W win: 66% at kick-off, 56% now
38′Eintracht Frankfurt W have had 8 attempts to 2 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 18–26–56
42′We said Eintracht Frankfurt W at 66%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 18–28–54
45′Eintracht Frankfurt W have had 14 attempts to 2 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 18–29–53
45′HALF-TIME Stuttgart W 0–0 Eintracht Frankfurt W
46′SECOND HALF Stuttgart W 0–0 Eintracht Frankfurt W
47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Stuttgart W · On: Svenja Hecke · Off: Leonie Schetter
49′Eintracht Frankfurt W have had 16 attempts to 2 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 17–31–51
50′We published Eintracht Frankfurt W at 66%. Our model now makes it 83%. 0–1 · 4–13–83
50′Eintracht Frankfurt W ahead on 49′ through Larissa Michelle Mühlhaus. 0–1. 0–1 · 4–13–83
50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Stuttgart W 0–1 Eintracht Frankfurt W
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Eintracht Frankfurt W win: 66% at kick-off, 83% now
58′A red card for Stuttgart W on 57′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–1 · 3–13–83
58′🟥 RED CARD · 57' Dafina Redzepi · Stuttgart W
61′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Larissa Michelle Mühlhaus · Eintracht Frankfurt W
66′We published Eintracht Frankfurt W at 66%. Our model now makes it 85%. 0–1 · 2–13–85
68′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Stuttgart W · On: Maximiliane·Rall · Off: Greta Stegemann
70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Eintracht Frankfurt W win: 66% at kick-off, 86% now
73′We published Eintracht Frankfurt W at 66%. Our model now makes it 99%. 0–2 · 0–1–99
73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Stuttgart W 0–2 Eintracht Frankfurt W
73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Eintracht Frankfurt W win: 66% at kick-off, 99% now
75′Laura Freigang scores for Eintracht Frankfurt W on 73′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–1–99
75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Stuttgart W · On: Haruka Osawa · Off: Chantal Hagel Corrected
78′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Stuttgart W · On: Fabienne Dongus · Off: Nicole Billa
78′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Eintracht Frankfurt W · On: Noemi Ivelj · Off: Dilara Acikgoz
78′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Eintracht Frankfurt W · On: Danique Tolhoek · Off: Rebecka Blomqvist
81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Eintracht Frankfurt W · On: Hayley Raso · Off: Larissa Michelle Mühlhaus
82′We published Eintracht Frankfurt W at 66%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Stuttgart W · On: Tamar Dongus · Off: Lenelotte Müller
91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Stuttgart W 0–3 Eintracht Frankfurt W
92′90′: Danique Tolhoek on the scoresheet for Eintracht Frankfurt W, making it 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Eintracht Frankfurt W · On: Jarne Teulings · Off: Ereleta Memeti
93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Eintracht Frankfurt W · On: Jamilla Rankin · Off: Nina Luhrssen
FTFULL TIME Stuttgart W 0–3 Eintracht Frankfurt W
FTStuttgart W 0–3 Eintracht Frankfurt W · Eintracht Frankfurt W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Eintracht Frankfurt W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Stuttgart W 17%, draw 17%, Eintracht Frankfurt W 66%. Over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Stuttgart W v Eintracht Frankfurt WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Stuttgart W win17%

Draw17%

Eintracht Frankfurt W win66%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 8

VenueGazi-Stadion a. d. Waldau

RefereeMiriam Schwermer

Line-ups

Stuttgart W

3-4-1-2

Eintracht Frankfurt W

4-4-2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Stuttgart W

Eintracht Frankfurt W

5Days since last match7

Last match: 19 Oct · Frauen Bundesliga

Last match: 17 Oct · Frauen Bundesliga

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Eintracht Frankfurt W	7	+5	14
10	Stuttgart W	7	−9	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Stuttgart W

3-4-1-2

1 L. Giuliani

5 G. Stegemann

23 L. Zähringer

3 Lenelotte Muller

16 J. Hechler

22 A. Achcińska

6 C. Hagel

27 Leonie Schetter

7 Dafina Redzepi

26 N. Billa

31 V. Wieder

Coach · –

Substitutes

11 · Rosa Rückert

20 · Jana Beuschlein

12 · K. Beck

33 · F. Dongus

34 · Svenja Hecke

32 · Tamar Dongus

24 · Katana Norman

10 · H. Osawa

8 · M. Rall

Eintracht Frankfurt W

4-4-2

12 L. Altenburg

17 P. Wolter

13 A. Ilestedt

14 M. Østenstad

11 N. Lührßen

29 Dilara Açıkgöz

8 H. Bennison

47 L. Mühlhaus

7 E. Memeti

10 L. Freigang

28 R. Blomqvist

Coach · Niko Arnautis

Substitutes

23 · S. Doorsoun

4 · N. Ivelj

27 · P. Krumbiegel

21 · J. Krumme

15 · J. Rankin

16 · H. Raso

9 · J. Teulings

26 · Ainhoa Alguacil

22 · D. Tolhoek

Our number · eintracht frankfurt w winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 20 Oct 00:12 · locked at kick-off

66% The market73%

Us66%

~~Market~~73%

We make Eintracht Frankfurt W a 66% chance to win. The market has them at 73%. We are 7 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–2.6.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Stuttgart W v Eintracht Frankfurt W~~1.20 – 2.61

~~Form · last six in Frauen Bundesliga this season · since 29 Aug~~W1 D2 L3 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 8 v 14~~10 v 3

~~The market · Eintracht Frankfurt W win~~73% · ours 66%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Eintracht Frankfurt W win The market, margin stripped

Published at 63%, 66% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 73% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Stuttgart W win	17%	11%	+6
Draw	17%	16%	+1
Eintracht Frankfurt W win	66%	73%	−7
Over 2.5 goals	72%	70%	+2
Both teams to score	63%	56%	+7
Over 1.5 goals	88%	86%	+2
Over 3.5 goals	52%	51%	+1
Stuttgart W or draw	34%	27%	+7
Stuttgart W clean sheet	8%	–	–
Eintracht Frankfurt W clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.6%

0123450 2.7 6.0 7.5 6.3 4.2 2.31 2.8 7.2 8.6 7.2 4.7 2.62 4.3 5.2 4.3 2.8 3 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Stuttgart W down, Eintracht Frankfurt W across0–5 goals a side shown (93.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 759 Frauen Bundesliga matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Frauen Bundesliga matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.3% of games this season, across 49 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Stuttgart W at home: 0.67 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 3). Eintracht Frankfurt W away: 1.50 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.20 goals for Stuttgart W, 2.61 for Eintracht Frankfurt W. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Frauen Bundesliga this season · since 29 Aug

STUTTGART W

WDLDLL2–1 · 3–3 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 0–4 · 0–5

EINTRACHT FRANKFURT W

DWWWLD1–1 · 1–0 · 4–2 · 3–2 · 0–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bayern Munich W	8	+22	24
2	VfL Wolfsburg W	7	+15	18
3	Eintracht Frankfurt W	7	+5	14
4	Bayer Leverkusen W	7	+3	13
5	FC Koln W	7	+4	12
6	Werder Bremen W	6	+2	10
7	RB Leipzig W	8	0	10
8	SC Freiburg W	7	−2	10
9	Union Berlin W	7	−2	9
10	Stuttgart W	7	−9	8
11	1899 Hoffenheim W	6	−3	6
12	Hamburger SV W	7	−1	5
13	Nürnberg W	7	−13	2
14	Mainz 05 W	7	−21	0