SV Elversberg v SV Darmstadt 98
SV ElversbergSV Darmstadt 98DFB Pokal · TUE 27 OCT · Waldstadion Kaiserlinde
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
SV Elversberg are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: SV Elversberg 54%, draw 23%, SV Darmstadt 98 23%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 60%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
SV Elversberg win54%SV Darmstadt 98 win23%Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 19:45
RoundRound of 32
VenueWaldstadion Kaiserlinde
Match timeline
All events
SV ElversbergMINSV Darmstadt 98Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
SV Elversberg
SV Darmstadt 98
Last match: 24 Oct · the German Bundesliga
Last match: 23 Oct · 2. Bundesliga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make SV Elversberg a 54% chance to win. The market has them at 64%. We are 10 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 53%, 54% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 64% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| SV Elversberg win | 54% | 64% | −10 |
| Draw | 23% | 20% | +3 |
| SV Darmstadt 98 win | 23% | 16% | +7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 62% | −1 |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 56% | +4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 81% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 41% | −2 |
| SV Elversberg or draw | 77% | 84% | −7 |
| SV Elversberg clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
| SV Darmstadt 98 clean sheet | 15% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · DFB Pokal this season · since 22 Aug
SV ELVERSBERG
SV DARMSTADT 98