SC Paderborn 07 v VfB Stuttgart
SC Paderborn 07VfB StuttgartDFB Pokal · WED 28 OCT · Home Deluxe Arena
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
VfB Stuttgart are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: SC Paderborn 07 22%, draw 22%, VfB Stuttgart 56%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 60%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
SC Paderborn 07 win22%VfB Stuttgart win56%Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 17:00
RoundRound of 32
VenueHome Deluxe Arena
Match timeline
All events
SC Paderborn 07MINVfB StuttgartEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
SC Paderborn 07
VfB Stuttgart
Last match: 24 Oct · the German Bundesliga
Last match: 23 Oct · the German Bundesliga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make VfB Stuttgart a 56% chance to win. The market has them at 61%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–2.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 57%, 56% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 61% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 22% | 18% | +4 |
| Draw | 22% | 21% | +1 |
| VfB Stuttgart win | 56% | 61% | −5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 60% | +1 |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 57% | +3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 80% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 40% | −1 |
| SC Paderborn 07 or draw | 44% | 39% | +5 |
| SC Paderborn 07 clean sheet | 14% | – | – |
| VfB Stuttgart clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · DFB Pokal this season · since 21 Aug
SC PADERBORN 07
VFB STUTTGART