Rot-Weiß Essen v RB Leipzig
Rot-Weiß EssenRB LeipzigDFB Pokal · TUE 27 OCT · Stadion an der Hafenstrasse
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
RB Leipzig are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Rot-Weiß Essen 9%, draw 14%, RB Leipzig 77%. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 60%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Rot-Weiß Essen win9%RB Leipzig win77%Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 17:00
RoundRound of 32
VenueStadion an der Hafenstrasse
Match timeline
All events
Rot-Weiß EssenMINRB LeipzigEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Rot-Weiß Essen
RB Leipzig
Last match: 23 Oct · 3. Liga
Last match: 24 Oct · the German Bundesliga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make RB Leipzig a 77% chance to win. The market has them at 78%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.0–2.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 78% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rot-Weiß Essen win | 9% | 8% | +1 |
| Draw | 14% | 14% | 0 |
| RB Leipzig win | 77% | 78% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 71% | +4 |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 52% | +8 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% | 86% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 55% | 51% | +4 |
| Rot-Weiß Essen or draw | 23% | 22% | +1 |
| Rot-Weiß Essen clean sheet | 5% | – | – |
| RB Leipzig clean sheet | 37% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · DFB Pokal this season · since 22 Aug
ROT-WEISS ESSEN
RB LEIPZIG