Hamburger SV v Eintracht Frankfurt
Hamburger SVEintracht FrankfurtDFB Pokal · TUE 27 OCT · Volksparkstadion
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Eintracht Frankfurt are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Hamburger SV 33%, draw 26%, Eintracht Frankfurt 41%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 61%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Hamburger SV win33%Eintracht Frankfurt win41%Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 17:00
RoundRound of 32
VenueVolksparkstadion
Match timeline
All events
Hamburger SVMINEintracht FrankfurtEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Hamburger SV
Eintracht Frankfurt
Last match: 24 Oct · the German Bundesliga
Last match: 24 Oct · the German Bundesliga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Eintracht Frankfurt a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.4–1.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 33% | 34% | −1 |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 0 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt win | 41% | 40% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 62% | −4 |
| Both teams to score | 61% | 65% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 82% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 42% | −6 |
| Hamburger SV or draw | 59% | 60% | −1 |
| Hamburger SV clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
| Eintracht Frankfurt clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · DFB Pokal this season · since 21 Aug
HAMBURGER SV
EINTRACHT FRANKFURT