Dynamo Dresden v FC Schalke 04
Dynamo DresdenFC Schalke 04DFB Pokal · WED 28 OCT · Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Dynamo Dresden just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Dynamo Dresden 38%, draw 26%, FC Schalke 04 36%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 59%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Dynamo Dresden win38%FC Schalke 04 win36%Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 17:00
RoundRound of 32
VenueRudolf-Harbig-Stadion
Match timeline
All events
Dynamo DresdenMINFC Schalke 04Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Dynamo Dresden
FC Schalke 04
Last match: 18 Oct · 2. Bundesliga
Last match: 24 Oct · the German Bundesliga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Dynamo Dresden a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 25%. We are 13 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 25% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Dresden win | 38% | 25% | +13 |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | +1 |
| FC Schalke 04 win | 36% | 50% | −14 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 60% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 61% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 81% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 40% | −7 |
| Dynamo Dresden or draw | 64% | 50% | +14 |
| Dynamo Dresden clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
| FC Schalke 04 clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · DFB Pokal this season · since 23 Aug
DYNAMO DRESDEN
FC SCHALKE 04