Bayern München v 1. FC Magdeburg
Bayern München1. FC MagdeburgDFB Pokal · WED 28 OCT · Allianz Arena
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Bayern München are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Bayern München 95%, draw 3%, 1. FC Magdeburg 1%. Over 2.5 goals 93%, both teams to score 54%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Bayern München win95%1. FC Magdeburg win1%Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 19:45
RoundRound of 32
VenueAllianz Arena
Match timeline
All events
Bayern MünchenMIN1. FC MagdeburgEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Bayern München
1. FC Magdeburg
Last match: 21 Oct · UEFA Champions League
Last match: 24 Oct · 2. Bundesliga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Bayern München a 95% chance to win. The market has them at 92%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 5.1–0.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 96%, 95% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 92% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München win | 95% | 92% | +3 |
| Draw | 3% | 6% | −3 |
| 1. FC Magdeburg win | 1% | 2% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 93% | 82% | +11 |
| Both teams to score | 54% | 35% | +19 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 98% | 92% | +6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 84% | 68% | +16 |
| Bayern München or draw | 99% | 98% | +1 |
| Bayern München clean sheet | 46% | – | – |
| 1. FC Magdeburg clean sheet | 1% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · DFB Pokal this season · since 23 Aug
BAYERN MÜNCHEN
1. FC MAGDEBURG