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Model 1.2

Home › Football › DFB Pokal - Women › FC Koln W v RB Leipzig W

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FC Koln W v RB Leipzig W

FC Koln W
12:00Upcoming
RB Leipzig W

DFB Pokal - Women · SAT 31 OCT · Franz-Kremer Stadion

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

FC Koln WDrawRB Leipzig W
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00
Before kick-off · Match result · FC Koln W 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FC Koln W are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: FC Koln W 44%, draw 24%, RB Leipzig W 32%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on FC Koln W v RB Leipzig WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

FC Koln W win44%
Draw24%
RB Leipzig W win32%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 12:00

RoundRound of 16

VenueFranz-Kremer Stadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FC Koln W

RB Leipzig W

7Days since last match8

Last match: 24 Oct · Frauen Bundesliga

Last match: 23 Oct · Frauen Bundesliga

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fc koln w winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off
44% The market–
Us44%

We make FC Koln W a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · FC Koln W v RB Leipzig W1.64 – 1.35
Form · DFB Pokal - Women this season · since 26 SeptW1 D0 L0 · W1 D0 L0

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
FC Koln W win44%––
Draw24%––
RB Leipzig W win32%––
Over 2.5 goals57%––
Both teams to score59%––
Over 1.5 goals79%––
Over 3.5 goals35%––
FC Koln W or draw68%––
FC Koln W clean sheet27%––
RB Leipzig W clean sheet20%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.1%
0123450 5.6 6.8 4.7 2.2 1 8.2 11.1 7.3 3.3 2 6.7 8.7 5.8 2.7 3 3.7 4.8 3.2 4 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+FC Koln W down, RB Leipzig W across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023/24
Goals a meeting2.67
Over 2.54 of 6
Both scored4 of 6
Last meetingsRBL 0–1 FCK · FCK 0–2 RBL · FCK 1–3 RBL · RBL 2–1 FCK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · DFB Pokal - Women this season · since 26 Sept

FC KOLN W

W2–1

RB LEIPZIG W

W2–0