Werder Bremen v SC Paderborn 07

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Werder Bremen win at 47%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Werder Bremen 47% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 46–27–26
3. 1′KICK-OFF Werder Bremen v SC Paderborn 07
4. 6′🟨 YELLOW · 4' SC Paderborn 07
5. 17′We said Werder Bremen at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 21%. 0–1 · 21–23–56
6. 17′⚽ GOAL · 17' Werder Bremen 0–1 SC Paderborn 07
7. 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 17' Werder Bremen win: 47% at kick-off, 21% now
8. 17′THE CALL SWINGS · 17' SC Paderborn 07 win is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Werder Bremen win 21%)
9. 19′Stefano Marino scores for SC Paderborn 07 on 18′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 20–24–56
10. 22′We said Werder Bremen at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–24–57
11. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Werder Bremen win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
12. 30′We said Werder Bremen at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 5%. 0–2 · 5–12–83
13. 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Werder Bremen 0–2 SC Paderborn 07
14. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Werder Bremen win: 47% at kick-off, 5% now
15. 31′30′: Steffen Tigges on the scoresheet for SC Paderborn 07, making it 0–2. 0–2 · 5–12–83
16. 36′We said Werder Bremen at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–11–85
17. 38′30′: Steffen Tigges on the scoresheet for SC Paderborn 07, making it 0–2. 0–2 · 4–11–85
18. 39′We said Werder Bremen at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–10–86
19. 45′SECOND HALF Werder Bremen 0–2 SC Paderborn 07
20. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Werder Bremen · On: Mitchell Weiser · Off: Iván San José Cantalejo
21. 46′HALF-TIME Werder Bremen 0–2 SC Paderborn 07
22. 54′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 0–2 · 2–7–91
23. 58′We said Werder Bremen at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 1–2 · 8–24–68
24. 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Werder Bremen 1–2 SC Paderborn 07
25. 59′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 8–23–69
26. 60′Werder Bremen pull one back on 59′ through Niclas Füllkrug. 1–2. 1–2 · 7–23–69
27. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Werder Bremen · On: Cédric Itten · Off: Eren Dinkci
28. 65′We said Werder Bremen at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 2–2 · 28–54–18
29. 65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Werder Bremen 2–2 SC Paderborn 07
30. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Werder Bremen win: 47% at kick-off, 28% now
31. 65′THE CALL SWINGS · 65' Draw is now our likeliest result at 54% (was SC Paderborn 07 win 18%)
32. 66′Niclas Füllkrug scores for Werder Bremen on 65′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 27–55–18
33. 67′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 26–56–18
34. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 66' SC Paderborn 07 · On: Tom Baack · Off: Laurin Ulrich
35. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 66' SC Paderborn 07 · On: Rayan Philippe · Off: Stefano Marino
36. 70′We said Werder Bremen at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–60–16
37. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 75' SC Paderborn 07 · On: Ruben Müller · Off: Gabriel Vidović
38. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 75' SC Paderborn 07 · On: Marvin Pieringer · Off: Steffen Tigges
39. 76′We said Werder Bremen at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–69–13
40. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Werder Bremen win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
41. 80′We said Werder Bremen at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–76–10
42. 80′14 shots for Werder Bremen, 9 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 2–2 · 14–76–10
43. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Werder Bremen · On: Dariusz Stalmach · Off: Ludovit Reis
44. 83′16 shots for Werder Bremen, 10 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 2–2 · 11–82–7
45. 87′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Youri Regeer · Werder Bremen
46. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Werder Bremen win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
47. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 88' SC Paderborn 07 · On: Jonah Sticker · Off: Mattes Hansen
48. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Werder Bremen · On: Paul Erevbenagie · Off: Youri Regeer
49. 94′2–2 at the end. Our 47% on Werder Bremen misses, and the record keeps it. 2–2 · 0–100–0
50. FTFULL TIME Werder Bremen 2–2 SC Paderborn 07
51. FTWerder Bremen 2–2 SC Paderborn 07 · Werder Bremen win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.