Union Berlin v Borussia Dortmund

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Borussia Dortmund win at 53%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Borussia Dortmund was 53% before kick-off and our model makes it 53% now. 0–0 · 23–25–53
3. 1′KICK-OFF Union Berlin v Borussia Dortmund
4. 1′🟨 YELLOW · 1' Ethan Nwaneri · Borussia Dortmund
5. 8′🟨 YELLOW · 7' Waldemar Anton · Borussia Dortmund
6. 16′🟨 YELLOW · 14' Serhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund
7. 35′🟨 YELLOW · 33' Janik Haberer · Union Berlin
8. 36′🟨 YELLOW · 35' Tom Rothe · Union Berlin
9. 38′Much as we predicted: Borussia Dortmund was 53% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 22–33–44
10. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Borussia Dortmund win: 53% at kick-off, 43% now
11. 47′We said Borussia Dortmund at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 41%. 0–0 · 21–37–41
12. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Union Berlin · On: Emmanuel Latte Lath · Off: Kastriot Imeri
13. 48′SECOND HALF Union Berlin 0–0 Borussia Dortmund
14. 49′HALF-TIME Union Berlin 0–0 Borussia Dortmund
15. 51′We said Borussia Dortmund at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 21–40–39
16. 55′We expected about 3.0 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 20–42–37
17. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Borussia Dortmund win 37%)
18. 61′We said Borussia Dortmund at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 19–47–34
19. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Borussia Dortmund win: 53% at kick-off, 33% now
20. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Borussia Dortmund · On: Konstantinos Karetsas · Off: Maximilian Beier
21. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Borussia Dortmund · On: Fábio Silva · Off: Ethan Nwaneri
22. 64′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Tim Skarke · Union Berlin
23. 68′We said Borussia Dortmund at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 16–55–29
24. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Union Berlin · On: Mekhi Gray · Off: Tim Skarke
25. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Borussia Dortmund · On: Mathis Albert · Off: Konstantinos Karetsas
26. 74′We said Borussia Dortmund at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 14–63–24
27. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Borussia Dortmund win: 53% at kick-off, 22% now
28. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Union Berlin · On: Christopher Trimmel · Off: Janik Haberer
29. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Union Berlin · On: Aljoscha Kemlein · Off: András Schäfer
30. 78′We said Borussia Dortmund at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 11–70–19
31. 82′We said Borussia Dortmund at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 8–78–14
32. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Borussia Dortmund win: 53% at kick-off, 12% now
33. 86′We said Borussia Dortmund at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 6–85–9
34. 87′We said Borussia Dortmund at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 0–0 · 5–87–8
35. 92′We said Borussia Dortmund at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 2–94–4
36. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Borussia Dortmund win: 53% at kick-off, 3% now
37. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 90+3' Union Berlin · On: Linus Güther · Off: Woo-Yeong Jeong
38. 95′Full time, 0–0. We called Borussia Dortmund at 53% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 0–0 · 0–100–0
39. FTFULL TIME Union Berlin 0–0 Borussia Dortmund
40. FTUnion Berlin 0–0 Borussia Dortmund · Borussia Dortmund win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.