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Borussia Dortmund v Eintracht Frankfurt
Borussia Dortmund
Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga · SAT 24 OCT · Signal Iduna Park
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Borussia Dortmund win at 62%.
- 2′Much as we predicted: Borussia Dortmund was 62% before kick-off and our model makes it 62% now. 0–0 · 62–20–17
- 2′KICK-OFF Borussia Dortmund v Eintracht Frankfurt
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Borussia Dortmund win: 62% at kick-off, 52% now
- 44′We said Borussia Dortmund at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 50%. 0–0 · 50–31–19
- 45′HALF-TIME Borussia Dortmund 0–0 Eintracht Frankfurt
- 45′SECOND HALF Borussia Dortmund 0–0 Eintracht Frankfurt
- 47′We said Borussia Dortmund at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–32–18
- 55′We expected about 3.6 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 45–37–18
- 56′We said Borussia Dortmund at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–38–18
- 59′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Nnamdi Collins · Eintracht Frankfurt
- 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Borussia Dortmund win: 62% at kick-off, 42% now
- 64′We said Borussia Dortmund at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–45–16
- 64′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Farès Chaïbi · Eintracht Frankfurt
- 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Borussia Dortmund win 42%)
- 68′13 shots for Borussia Dortmund, 8 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 35–49–15
- 69′We said Borussia Dortmund at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–51–15
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Borussia Dortmund · On: Maximilian Beier · Off: Daniel Svensson
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Borussia Dortmund · On: Ethan Nwaneri · Off: Fábio Silva
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Borussia Dortmund · On: Carney Chukwuemeka · Off: Marcel Sabitzer
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Borussia Dortmund win: 62% at kick-off, 32% now
- 74′We said Borussia Dortmund at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–58–13
- 75′Borussia Dortmund have had 16 attempts to 8 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 28–60–13
- 78′We said Borussia Dortmund at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–65–11
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Eintracht Frankfurt · On: Can Yilmaz Uzun · Off: Younes Ebnoutalib
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Eintracht Frankfurt · On: Ansgar Knauff · Off: Jonathan Burkardt
- 79′We published Borussia Dortmund at 62%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
- 79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Borussia Dortmund 1–0 Eintracht Frankfurt
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Borussia Dortmund win: 62% at kick-off, 90% now
- 79′THE CALL SWINGS · 79' Borussia Dortmund win is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Draw 65%)
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Borussia Dortmund · On: Jobe Bellingham · Off: Felix Nmecha
- 81′Maximilian Beier scores for Borussia Dortmund on 80′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 91–8–1
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Borussia Dortmund win: 62% at kick-off, 92% now
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Eintracht Frankfurt · On: Love Arrhov · Off: Farès Chaïbi
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Eintracht Frankfurt · On: Mario Götze · Off: Noel Aseko
- 87′We published Borussia Dortmund at 62%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Eintracht Frankfurt · On: Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab · Off: Ritsu Doan
- 92′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Borussia Dortmund · On: Kouakou Joane Gadou · Off: Julian Ryerson
- 93′Full time, 1–0. We called Borussia Dortmund at 62% — that one lands. 1–0 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Borussia Dortmund 1–0 Eintracht Frankfurt
- FTBorussia Dortmund 1–0 Eintracht Frankfurt · Borussia Dortmund win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Borussia Dortmund are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Borussia Dortmund 62%, draw 20%, Eintracht Frankfurt 17%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 64%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Borussia Dortmund win62%
Eintracht Frankfurt win17%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 17:30
RoundMatchday 7
VenueSignal Iduna Park
RefereeSven Jablonski
Match timeline
All events
Borussia DortmundMIN
Eintracht FrankfurtEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Borussia Dortmund
3-4-2-1
Eintracht Frankfurt
4-4-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Borussia Dortmund
Eintracht Frankfurt
Last match: 20 Oct · UEFA Champions League
Last match: 16 Oct · the German Bundesliga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Borussia Dortmund
3-4-2-1
1 G. Kobel
4 N. Schlotterbeck
3 W. Anton
5 R. Bensebaïni
26 J. Ryerson
20 M. Sabitzer
8 F. Nmecha
24 D. Svensson
21 Fábio Silva
25 J. Veerman
9 S. Guirassy
Coach · N. Kovač
Substitutes
18 · E. Nwaneri
33 · A. Meyer
39 · F. Mané
40 · S. Inacio
22 · Kouakou Joane Gadou
44 · E. de Pina Duarte dos Santos
17 · C. Chukwuemeka
7 · J. Bellingham
14 · M. Beier
Eintracht Frankfurt
4-4-2
1 N. Atubolu
34 N. Collins
4 R. Koch
3 L. Brassier
2 Elias Baum
20 R. Dōan
15 N. Aséko Nkili
25 R. Onyedika
8 F. Chaïbi
11 Y. Ebnoutalib
9 J. Burkardt
Coach · A. Hütter
Substitutes
42 · C. Uzun
37 · J. Maluze
26 · K. Kosugi
7 · A. Knauff
40 · Kauã Santos
6 · O. Højlund
27 · M. Götze
31 · L. Arrhov
29 · A. Amaimouni
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Borussia Dortmund
3-4-2-1
1 G. Kobel
4 N. Schlotterbeck
3 W. Anton
5 R. Bensebaïni
26 J. Ryerson
20 M. Sabitzer
8 F. Nmecha
24 D. Svensson
21 Fábio Silva
25 J. Veerman
9 S. Guirassy
Coach · N. Kovač
Substitutes
18 · E. Nwaneri
33 · A. Meyer
39 · F. Mané
40 · S. Inacio
22 · Kouakou Joane Gadou
44 · E. de Pina Duarte dos Santos
17 · C. Chukwuemeka
7 · J. Bellingham
14 · M. Beier
Eintracht Frankfurt
4-4-2
1 N. Atubolu
34 N. Collins
4 R. Koch
3 L. Brassier
2 Elias Baum
20 R. Dōan
15 N. Aséko Nkili
25 R. Onyedika
8 F. Chaïbi
11 Y. Ebnoutalib
9 J. Burkardt
Coach · A. Hütter
Substitutes
42 · C. Uzun
37 · J. Maluze
26 · K. Kosugi
7 · A. Knauff
40 · Kauã Santos
6 · O. Højlund
27 · M. Götze
31 · L. Arrhov
29 · A. Amaimouni
We make Borussia Dortmund a 62% chance to win. The market has them at 64%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 2.4–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 63%, 62% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 64% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund win | 62% | 64% | −2 |
| Draw | 20% | 19% | +1 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt win | 17% | 17% | 0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 70% | −1 |
| Both teams to score | 64% | 64% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 86% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47% | 50% | −3 |
| Borussia Dortmund or draw | 83% | 83% | 0 |
| Borussia Dortmund clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
| Eintracht Frankfurt clean sheet | 10% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Bundesliga this season · since 29 Aug
BORUSSIA DORTMUND
EINTRACHT FRANKFURT
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 6 | +17 | 14 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 6 | +7 | 14 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 6 | +9 | 13 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 | FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | +4 | 10 |
| 6 | SV Elversberg | 6 | +1 | 10 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 6 | +5 | 9 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV | 6 | −9 | 9 |
| 10 | FC Augsburg | 6 | +4 | 8 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | −6 | 8 |
| 12 | 1. FC Köln | 6 | −3 | 7 |
| 13 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 6 | −3 | 6 |
| 14 | VfB Stuttgart | 7 | −3 | 6 |
| 15 | FC Schalke 04 | 6 | −3 | 5 |
| 16 | SC Paderborn 07 | 6 | −4 | 5 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 6 | −12 | 5 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | −11 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Bayern München
SC Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen
FSV Mainz 05
SV Elversberg
RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen
Hamburger SV
FC Augsburg
1. FC Köln
1899 Hoffenheim
VfB Stuttgart
FC Schalke 04
SC Paderborn 07
Union Berlin
Borussia Mönchengladbach