

SV Wehen v SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
SV Wehen
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach3. Liga · SAT 24 OCT · Brita Arena
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said SV Wehen win at 49%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: SV Wehen 49% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 49–25–26
- 1′KICK-OFF SV Wehen v SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- 17′A goal for SV Wehen on 16′. 0–0 · 46–28–26
- 18′A goal for SV Wehen on 17′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 74–17–9
- 18′Marcus Muller scores for SV Wehen on 18′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 74–17–9
- 18′⚽ GOAL · 17' SV Wehen 1–0 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' SV Wehen win: 49% at kick-off, 74% now
- 19′We said SV Wehen at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 1–0 · 74–17–9
- 28′We said SV Wehen at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–17–8
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 75–17–8
- 30′We said SV Wehen at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 92%. 2–0 · 92–6–2
- 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' SV Wehen 2–0 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 30' SV Wehen win: 49% at kick-off, 92% now
- 32′30′: Florian Hübner on the scoresheet for SV Wehen, making it 2–0. 2–0 · 92–6–2
- 33′🟨 YELLOW · 31' V. Celiktas · SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- 35′We said SV Wehen at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 3–0 · 98–1–0
- 35′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 3–0 · 98–1–0
- 35′🟨 YELLOW · 34' P. Reinhardt · SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' SV Wehen 3–0 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- 37′SV Wehen ahead on 35′ through Roberto Massimo. 3–0. 3–0 · 98–1–0
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' SV Wehen win: 49% at kick-off, 99% now
- 39′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 93–6–1
- 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' SV Wehen 3–1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' SV Wehen win: 49% at kick-off, 93% now
- 40′Luca Damiano Molinari scores for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach on 39′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 93–5–1
- 50′5 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 99–1–0
- 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' SV Wehen 4–1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' SV Wehen win: 49% at kick-off, 99% now
- 52′52′: Fabian Greilinger on the scoresheet for SV Wehen, making it 4–1. 4–1 · 99–1–0
- 52′50′: Fabian Greilinger on the scoresheet for SV Wehen, making it 4–1. 4–1 · 99–1–0
- 56′SUBSTITUTION · 55' SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach · On: Leon Maier · Off: V. Celiktas
- 56′SUBSTITUTION · 55' SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach · On: Marius Uhl · Off: Antonis Aidonis
- 60′We said SV Wehen at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 64' SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach · On: Lukas Stoppel · Off: Niklas Pollex
- 67′That is 6, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 5–1 · 100–0–0
- 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' SV Wehen 5–1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- 68′SV Wehen ahead on 66′ through Raul Paula. 5–1. 5–1 · 100–0–0
- 73′7 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 6–1 · 100–0–0
- 73′Gino Fechner scores for SV Wehen on 72′ — 6–1. 6–1 · 100–0–0
- 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' SV Wehen 6–1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' SV Wehen · On: Niklas May · Off: Fabian Greilinger Corrected
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' SV Wehen · On: Moritz Flotho · Off: Marcus Muller Corrected
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 74' SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach · On: Franz Bleicher · Off: Tim Rossmann
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach · On: Marlon Freddy Faß · Off: Loris Maier
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 76' SV Wehen · On: Robin Kalem · Off: Raul Paula Corrected
- 78′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Fabian Eisele · SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' SV Wehen · On: Tarik Gözüsirin · Off: Lukas Schleimer
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' SV Wehen · On: Michael Schultz · Off: Florian Hübner
- 92′That is 8, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 7–1 · 100–0–0
- 92′90′: Robin Kalem on the scoresheet for SV Wehen, making it 7–1. 7–1 · 100–0–0
- 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' SV Wehen 7–1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- FTFULL TIME SV Wehen 7–1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- FTSV Wehen 7–1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach · SV Wehen win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
SV Wehen are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: SV Wehen 49%, draw 25%, SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 26%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 57%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
SV Wehen win49%
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win26%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00
RoundMatchday 11
VenueBrita Arena
RefereeMax Kluge
Match timeline
All events
SV WehenMIN
SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
SV Wehen
4-1-4-1
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
4-2-3-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
SV Wehen
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Last match: 17 Oct · 3. Liga
Last match: 17 Oct · 3. Liga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
SV Wehen
4-1-4-1
16 F. Stritzel
18 F. Greilinger
19 F. Hübner
15 J. Janitzek
17 Ben Nink
37 M. Brandt
22 R. Massimo
7 L. Schleimer
6 G. Fechner
32 R. Paula
21 M. Müller
Coach · J. Seitz
Substitutes
20 · Ayoub Chaikhoun
31 · N. Brdar
45 · I. Ati Allah
28 · M. Flotho
11 · T. Gözüsirin
29 · P. Hercher
10 · R. Kalem
5 · N. May
14 · M. Schultz
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
4-2-3-1
1 M. Reule
8 Jan Elias Rahn
15 A. Aidonis
25 A. Nuraj
21 L. Molinari
5 Volkan Celiktas
16 M. Kunde
27 Loris Maier
18 N. Pollex
11 T. Rossmann
23 F. Eisele
Coach · Pascal Reinhardt
Substitutes
13 · N. Zografakis
4 · F. Bleicher
9 · Marlon Freddy Faß
36 · M. Gashi
22 · B. Landwehr
20 · Leon Maier
33 · T. Schulz
10 · L. Stoppel
19 · M. Uhl
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
SV Wehen
4-1-4-1
16 F. Stritzel
18 F. Greilinger
19 F. Hübner
15 J. Janitzek
17 Ben Nink
37 M. Brandt
22 R. Massimo
7 L. Schleimer
6 G. Fechner
32 R. Paula
21 M. Müller
Coach · J. Seitz
Substitutes
20 · Ayoub Chaikhoun
31 · N. Brdar
45 · I. Ati Allah
28 · M. Flotho
11 · T. Gözüsirin
29 · P. Hercher
10 · R. Kalem
5 · N. May
14 · M. Schultz
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
4-2-3-1
1 M. Reule
8 Jan Elias Rahn
15 A. Aidonis
25 A. Nuraj
21 L. Molinari
5 Volkan Celiktas
16 M. Kunde
27 Loris Maier
18 N. Pollex
11 T. Rossmann
23 F. Eisele
Coach · Pascal Reinhardt
Substitutes
13 · N. Zografakis
4 · F. Bleicher
9 · Marlon Freddy Faß
36 · M. Gashi
22 · B. Landwehr
20 · Leon Maier
33 · T. Schulz
10 · L. Stoppel
19 · M. Uhl
We make SV Wehen a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 48%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.7–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 48% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen win | 49% | 48% | +1 |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 0 |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win | 26% | 27% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 62% | −6 |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 62% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 81% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 41% | −8 |
| SV Wehen or draw | 74% | 73% | +1 |
| SV Wehen clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 3. Liga this season · since 12 Sept
SV WEHEN
SG SONNENHOF GROSSASPACH
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 10 | +15 | 25 |
| 2 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 11 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 | FC Viktoria Köln | 10 | +13 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Saarbrücken | 10 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim II | 10 | +5 | 16 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 10 | −2 | 15 |
| 7 | Stuttgart II | 10 | −1 | 14 |
| 8 | Alemannia Aachen | 10 | −1 | 14 |
| 9 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 10 | −2 | 14 |
| 10 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 10 | −2 | 14 |
| 11 | Waldhof Mannheim | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Preußen Münster | 10 | −3 | 12 |
| 13 | SV Wehen | 10 | −3 | 12 |
| 14 | Verl | 10 | −4 | 12 |
| 15 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 10 | −6 | 12 |
| 16 | Würzburger Kickers | 10 | −4 | 11 |
| 17 | SV Meppen | 10 | −5 | 11 |
| 18 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 11 | 0 | 10 |
| 19 | Fortuna Köln | 10 | −3 | 10 |
| 20 | Havelse | 10 | −10 | 6 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
MSV Duisburg
Rot-Weiß Essen
FC Viktoria Köln
FC Saarbrücken
Hoffenheim II
Hansa Rostock
Stuttgart II
Alemannia Aachen
FC Ingolstadt 04
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Waldhof Mannheim
Preußen Münster
Verl
Würzburger Kickers
SV Meppen
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Fortuna Köln
Havelse