

SV Wehen v Alemannia Aachen
SV Wehen
Alemannia Aachen3. Liga · WED 14 OCT · Brita Arena
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said SV Wehen win at 37%.
- 2′Little has changed for our model: SV Wehen 37% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 38–25–38
- 2′KICK-OFF SV Wehen v Alemannia Aachen
- 20′🟨 YELLOW · 19' Alemannia Aachen
- 20′🟨 YELLOW · 19' Mehdi Loune · Alemannia Aachen
- 45′We said SV Wehen at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 68%. 1–0 · 68–22–10
- 45′45′ and it is 1–0: Lukas Schleimer on the scoresheet for SV Wehen. 1–0 · 68–22–10
- 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' SV Wehen 1–0 Alemannia Aachen
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' SV Wehen win: 37% at kick-off, 68% now
- 45′HALF-TIME SV Wehen 1–0 Alemannia Aachen
- 46′SECOND HALF SV Wehen 1–0 Alemannia Aachen
- 47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Alemannia Aachen · On: Georg Ermolaev · Off: Kacper Koscierski
- 49′We said SV Wehen at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–22–9
- 51′We said SV Wehen at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 92%. 2–0 · 92–7–2
- 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' SV Wehen 2–0 Alemannia Aachen · Lukas Schleimer
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' SV Wehen win: 37% at kick-off, 92% now
- 52′SV Wehen ahead on 51′ through Gino Fechner. 2–0. 2–0 · 92–6–2
- 53′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 2–0 · 92–6–1
- 62′We said SV Wehen at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–5–1
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 60' SV Wehen · On: Moritz flotho · Off: Marcus Muller
- 63′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Raul Paula · SV Wehen
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Alemannia Aachen · On: meiko waschenbach · Off: Mehdi Loune
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Alemannia Aachen · On: Fabio Torsiello · Off: Lukas Scepanik
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Alemannia Aachen · On: meiko waschenbach · Off: Mehdi Loune
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Alemannia Aachen · On: Louis Köster · Off: Ken Eghosa Gideon Izekor
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' SV Wehen win: 37% at kick-off, 97% now
- 73′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Dylan Leonard · Alemannia Aachen
- 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' SV Wehen 3–0 Alemannia Aachen · Gino Fechner
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 75' SV Wehen · On: Philipp Hercher · Off: Niklas May
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' SV Wehen · On: Robin Kalem · Off: Lukas Schleimer
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' SV Wehen · On: Ayoub Chaikhoun · Off: Raul Paula
- 78′We said SV Wehen at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 100%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 78′3 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 75' SV Wehen · On: Robin Kalem · Off: Lukas Schleimer
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 75' SV Wehen · On: Ayoub Chaikhoun · Off: Raul Paula
- 80′Roberto Massimo scores for SV Wehen on 77′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' SV Wehen · On: Ibrahim Ati Allah · Off: Roberto Massimo
- FTFULL TIME SV Wehen 3–0 Alemannia Aachen
- FTSV Wehen 3–0 Alemannia Aachen · SV Wehen win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassChelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.
Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.
Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.
Pre-match prediction
Published 14 Oct 17:28 · locked at kick-off
SV Wehen win37%
Alemannia Aachen win37%Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 18:00
VenueBrita Arena
RefereeKevin Behrens
Match timeline
All events
SV WehenMIN
Alemannia AachenEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
SV Wehen
4-1-4-1
Alemannia Aachen
4-4-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
SV Wehen
Alemannia Aachen
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
Line-ups
SV Wehen
4-1-4-1
16 F. Stritzel
18 F. Greilinger
19 F. Hubner
15 J. Janitzek
5 N. May
37 M. Brandt
22 R. Massimo
7 L. Schleimer
6 G. Fechner
32 R. Paula
21 M. Muller
Coach · Jochen Seitz
Substitutes
31 · N. Brdar
14 · M. Schultz
29 · P. Hercher
24 · T. Neubert
20 · A. Chaikhoun
10 · R. Kalem
8 · D. Bogicevic
45 · I. Allah
28 · M. Flotho
Alemannia Aachen
4-4-2
1 M. Riemann
37 J. Kiala
4 D. Leonard
2 P. Bagkalianis
3 M. Wagner
29 K. Koscierski
28 D. Wiebe
10 M. Loune
7 L. Scepanik
18 K. Izekor
9 D. Starodid
Coach · Mersad Selimbegovic
Substitutes
23 · S. Bajic
15 · M. Hanraths
17 · F. Torsiello
11 · M. Waschenbach
8 · L. Koster
19 · N. Bitumazala
20 · G. Ermolaev
30 · J. von der Hitz
38 · V. Sulejmani
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
SV Wehen
4-1-4-1
16 F. Stritzel
18 F. Greilinger
19 F. Hubner
15 J. Janitzek
5 N. May
37 M. Brandt
22 R. Massimo
7 L. Schleimer
6 G. Fechner
32 R. Paula
21 M. Muller
Coach · Jochen Seitz
Substitutes
31 · N. Brdar
14 · M. Schultz
29 · P. Hercher
24 · T. Neubert
20 · A. Chaikhoun
10 · R. Kalem
8 · D. Bogicevic
45 · I. Allah
28 · M. Flotho
Alemannia Aachen
4-4-2
1 M. Riemann
37 J. Kiala
4 D. Leonard
2 P. Bagkalianis
3 M. Wagner
29 K. Koscierski
28 D. Wiebe
10 M. Loune
7 L. Scepanik
18 K. Izekor
9 D. Starodid
Coach · Mersad Selimbegovic
Substitutes
23 · S. Bajic
15 · M. Hanraths
17 · F. Torsiello
11 · M. Waschenbach
8 · L. Koster
19 · N. Bitumazala
20 · G. Ermolaev
30 · J. von der Hitz
38 · V. Sulejmani
We make SV Wehen a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.5–1.5.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 35%, 38% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen win | 37% | 40% | −2 |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | −1 |
| Alemannia Aachen win | 37% | 34% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 57% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 61% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 79% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 37% | −2 |
| SV Wehen or draw | 63% | 66% | −3 |
| SV Wehen clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
| Alemannia Aachen clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2024Form · last six in 3. Liga
SV WEHEN
ALEMANNIA AACHEN
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 9 | 15 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 8 | 13 | 18 |
| 3 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 9 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Hansa Rostock | 9 | 0 | 15 |
| 5 | FC Saarbrücken | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Waldhof Mannheim | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim II | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | Preußen Münster | 8 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Alemannia Aachen | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Stuttgart II | 9 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | Verl | 8 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Fortuna Köln | 9 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | SV Meppen | 9 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 8 | 1 | 8 |
| 16 | Würzburger Kickers | 9 | -6 | 8 |
| 17 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 8 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 | SV Wehen | 8 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 8 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 | Havelse | 9 | -10 | 5 |
The competition's standings.
MSV Duisburg
FC Viktoria Köln
Rot-Weiß Essen
Hansa Rostock
FC Saarbrücken
Waldhof Mannheim
Hoffenheim II
Preußen Münster
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Stuttgart II
Verl
Fortuna Köln
SV Meppen
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Würzburger Kickers
FC Ingolstadt 04
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Havelse