

SV Meppen v Havelse
SV Meppen
Havelse3. Liga · SUN 18 OCT · Hänsch-Arena
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said SV Meppen win at 54%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: SV Meppen 54% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 53–22–25
- 1′KICK-OFF SV Meppen v Havelse
- 13′We said SV Meppen at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–22–48
- 13′⚽ GOAL · 13' SV Meppen 0–1 Havelse
- 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 13' SV Meppen win: 54% at kick-off, 29% now
- 13′THE CALL SWINGS · 13' Havelse win is now our likeliest result at 48% (was SV Meppen win 29%)
- 14′A goal for Havelse on 13′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 29–23–49
- 15′⚽ GOAL · 15' SV Meppen 1–1 Havelse
- 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' SV Meppen win: 54% at kick-off, 51% now
- 15′THE CALL SWINGS · 15' SV Meppen win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Havelse win 25%)
- 17′15′: Thorben Deters on the scoresheet for SV Meppen, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 51–24–25
- 35′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Eryk Artur Grzywacz · Havelse
- 42′The goal count is tracking the 3.5 we expected. 1–1 · 45–31–24
- 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' SV Meppen win: 54% at kick-off, 44% now
- 45′SECOND HALF SV Meppen 1–1 Havelse
- 46′SV Meppen have had 9 attempts to 4 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 43–33–24
- 48′We said SV Meppen at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 42%. 1–1 · 42–34–23
- 49′🟨 YELLOW · 48' dennis duah · Havelse
- 50′HALF-TIME SV Meppen 1–1 Havelse
- 55′We said SV Meppen at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–38–22
- 56′12 shots for SV Meppen, 5 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 39–39–22
- 57′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Jesse Edem Tugbenyo · Havelse
- 59′SUBSTITUTION · 58' SV Meppen · On: Niclas Tibor Nadj · Off: Jonas Fedl
- 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was SV Meppen win 37%)
- 64′We said SV Meppen at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–46–20
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' SV Meppen win: 54% at kick-off, 34% now
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Havelse · On: Alexander Guiddir · Off: Robin Velasco
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' SV Meppen · On: Niclas Wessels · Off: Kasra Ghawilu
- 71′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Dominique Domrose · SV Meppen
- 75′We said SV Meppen at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–60–15
- 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' SV Meppen win: 54% at kick-off, 24% now
- 75′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Jannic ehlers · SV Meppen
- 78′We said SV Meppen at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 87%. 2–1 · 87–12–1
- 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' SV Meppen 2–1 Havelse
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' SV Meppen win: 54% at kick-off, 87% now
- 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' SV Meppen win is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Draw 12%)
- 80′We said SV Meppen at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 1–1 · 18–70–12
- 80′GOAL DISALLOWED · 80' SV Meppen
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' SV Meppen win: 54% at kick-off, 18% now
- 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Draw is now our likeliest result at 70% (was SV Meppen win 18%)
- 81′SV Meppen have had 17 attempts to 6 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 17–73–11
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Havelse · On: Eric Voufack · Off: Kevin Schumacher
- 83′We said SV Meppen at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–78–9
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' SV Meppen win: 54% at kick-off, 14% now
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Havelse · On: Marc Richter · Off: Yusuf Wardak
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Havelse · On: Ifeanyi David Nduka · Off: Eryk Artur Grzywacz
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' SV Meppen · On: Luca Prasse · Off: Oliver Issa Schmitt
- 87′We said SV Meppen at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–85–6
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 83' SV Meppen · On: Simon Engelmann · Off: Jannic ehlers
- 92′We said SV Meppen at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
- 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' SV Meppen win: 54% at kick-off, 4% now
- 94′22 shots for SV Meppen, 7 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 2–96–1
- 95′1–1 at the end. Our 54% on SV Meppen misses, and the record keeps it. 1–1 · 0–100–0
- FTFULL TIME SV Meppen 1–1 Havelse
- FTSV Meppen 1–1 Havelse · SV Meppen win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
SV Meppen are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: SV Meppen 54%, draw 22%, Havelse 25%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 66%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
SV Meppen win54%
Havelse win25%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 18:30
RoundMatchday 10
VenueHänsch-Arena
RefereeBen Henry Uhrig
Match timeline
All events
SV MeppenMIN
HavelseEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
SV Meppen
4-2-3-1
Havelse
5-3-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
SV Meppen
Havelse
Last match: 13 Oct · 3. Liga
Last match: 13 Oct · 3. Liga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
SV Meppen
4-2-3-1
44 J. Punt
2 D. Domrose
19 L. Sprekelmeyer
33 S. Rankic
3 T. Missner
5 J. Fedl
6 E. Zehir
10 K. Ghawilu
14 T. Deters
7 O. Schmitt
17 J. Ehlers
Coach · Lucas Beniermann
Substitutes
1 · N. Oberbeck
20 · N. Touglo
39 · F. Bahr
4 · J. Borsum
23 · N. Wessels
40 · N. Nadj
11 · S. Engelmann
9 · C. Akono
31 · L. Prasse
Havelse
5-3-2
1 T. Opitz
22 L. Sommer-Deiss
15 D. Duah
8 J. Berger
4 S. Belkahia
10 K. Schumacher
12 E. Grzywacz
33 J. Tugbenyo
28 R. Velasco
11 K. Wriedt
14 Y. Wardak
Coach · Samir Ferchichi
Substitutes
25 · F. Wolter
19 · E. Voufack
3 · M. Lamby
24 · Y. Mausehund
27 · D. Nduka
7 · M. Richter
9 · L. Paldino
23 · R. Muller
20 · A. Guiddir
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
SV Meppen
4-2-3-1
44 J. Punt
2 D. Domrose
19 L. Sprekelmeyer
33 S. Rankic
3 T. Missner
5 J. Fedl
6 E. Zehir
10 K. Ghawilu
14 T. Deters
7 O. Schmitt
17 J. Ehlers
Coach · Lucas Beniermann
Substitutes
1 · N. Oberbeck
20 · N. Touglo
39 · F. Bahr
4 · J. Borsum
23 · N. Wessels
40 · N. Nadj
11 · S. Engelmann
9 · C. Akono
31 · L. Prasse
Havelse
5-3-2
1 T. Opitz
22 L. Sommer-Deiss
15 D. Duah
8 J. Berger
4 S. Belkahia
10 K. Schumacher
12 E. Grzywacz
33 J. Tugbenyo
28 R. Velasco
11 K. Wriedt
14 Y. Wardak
Coach · Samir Ferchichi
Substitutes
25 · F. Wolter
19 · E. Voufack
3 · M. Lamby
24 · Y. Mausehund
27 · D. Nduka
7 · M. Richter
9 · L. Paldino
23 · R. Muller
20 · A. Guiddir
We make SV Meppen a 54% chance to win. The market has them at 55%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 2.1–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 51%, 54% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 55% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| SV Meppen win | 54% | 55% | −1 |
| Draw | 22% | 22% | 0 |
| Havelse win | 25% | 22% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 66% | +2 |
| Both teams to score | 66% | 65% | +1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% | 84% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 47% | −1 |
| SV Meppen or draw | 75% | 78% | −3 |
| SV Meppen clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
| Havelse clean sheet | 12% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 3. Liga this season · since 5 Sept
SV MEPPEN
HAVELSE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 9 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 9 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 10 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 | FC Saarbrücken | 10 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim II | 10 | +5 | 16 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 10 | −2 | 15 |
| 7 | Stuttgart II | 10 | −1 | 14 |
| 8 | Alemannia Aachen | 10 | −1 | 14 |
| 9 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 10 | −2 | 14 |
| 10 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 10 | −2 | 14 |
| 11 | Waldhof Mannheim | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Preußen Münster | 10 | −3 | 12 |
| 13 | SV Wehen | 10 | −3 | 12 |
| 14 | Verl | 10 | −4 | 12 |
| 15 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 10 | −6 | 12 |
| 16 | Würzburger Kickers | 10 | −4 | 11 |
| 17 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 10 | +1 | 10 |
| 18 | Fortuna Köln | 10 | −3 | 10 |
| 19 | SV Meppen | 9 | −5 | 10 |
| 20 | Havelse | 9 | −10 | 5 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
MSV Duisburg
FC Viktoria Köln
Rot-Weiß Essen
FC Saarbrücken
Hoffenheim II
Hansa Rostock
Stuttgart II
Alemannia Aachen
FC Ingolstadt 04
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Waldhof Mannheim
Preußen Münster
SV Wehen
Verl
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Würzburger Kickers
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Fortuna Köln