Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › 3. Liga › SSV Jahn Regensburg v SV Wehen

Back
Germany flag

SSV Jahn Regensburg v SV Wehen

SSV Jahn Regensburg
0–0Full time
SV Wehen

3. Liga · SAT 17 OCT · Arena Regensburg

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 15:35
SSV Jahn Regensburg 0–0 SV Wehen SSV JAHN REGENSBURG WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said SSV Jahn Regensburg win42%
The market said38%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.849
The market’s Brier score0.830

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 22 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said SSV Jahn Regensburg win at 42%.
  2. 2′Much as we predicted: SSV Jahn Regensburg was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–25–32
  3. 2′KICK-OFF SSV Jahn Regensburg v SV Wehen
  4. 35′🟨 YELLOW · 35' SV Wehen
  5. 41′🟨 YELLOW · 40' Justin Janitzek · SV Wehen
  6. 42′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Oscar Schoenfelder · SSV Jahn Regensburg
  7. 45′HALF-TIME SSV Jahn Regensburg 0–0 SV Wehen
  8. 46′SECOND HALF SSV Jahn Regensburg 0–0 SV Wehen
  9. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was SSV Jahn Regensburg win 34%)
  10. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' SSV Jahn Regensburg win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
  11. 55′We expected about 3.0 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 31–43–26
  12. 58′We said SSV Jahn Regensburg at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 30%. 0–0 · 30–45–25
  13. 60′We said SSV Jahn Regensburg at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–47–24
  14. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 61' SV Wehen · On: Ayoub Chaikhoun · Off: Lukas Schleimer
  15. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 61' SV Wehen · On: Robin Kalem · Off: Roberto Massimo
  16. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 64' SSV Jahn Regensburg · On: Patrick Hobsch · Off: Lucas Hermes
  17. 69′We said SSV Jahn Regensburg at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–56–20
  18. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' SSV Jahn Regensburg win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
  19. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' SSV Jahn Regensburg · On: John Xaver Posselt · Off: David Lennart Philipp
  20. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 72' SSV Jahn Regensburg · On: Marco Womer · Off: Nassim Boujellab
  21. 75′We said SSV Jahn Regensburg at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–65–16
  22. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' SV Wehen · On: Marcus Muller · Off: Moritz flotho
  23. 80′We said SSV Jahn Regensburg at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–74–12
  24. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' SSV Jahn Regensburg win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
  25. 82′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Sascha Hingerl · SSV Jahn Regensburg
  26. 84′We said SSV Jahn Regensburg at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–83–8
  27. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' SSV Jahn Regensburg · On: Erik Majetschak · Off: Sascha Hingerl
  28. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' SV Wehen · On: Donny Bogicevic · Off: Gino Fechner
  29. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' SV Wehen · On: Ben Nink · Off: Niklas May
  30. 91′We said SSV Jahn Regensburg at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–4
  31. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' SSV Jahn Regensburg win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
  32. FTFULL TIME SSV Jahn Regensburg 0–0 SV Wehen
  33. FTSSV Jahn Regensburg 0–0 SV Wehen · SSV Jahn Regensburg win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

SSV Jahn Regensburg are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: SSV Jahn Regensburg 42%, draw 25%, SV Wehen 33%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on SSV Jahn Regensburg v SV WehenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

SSV Jahn Regensburg win42%
Draw25%
SV Wehen win33%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 10

VenueArena Regensburg

RefereeFranziska Wildfeuer

Line-ups

SSV Jahn Regensburg

5-3-2

SV Wehen

4-1-4-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

SSV Jahn Regensburg

SV Wehen

3Days since last match3

Last match: 14 Oct · 3. Liga

Last match: 14 Oct · 3. Liga

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
14SV Wehen9−311
17SSV Jahn Regensburg9+19

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

SSV Jahn Regensburg

5-3-2

1 H. Hermann

25 N. Oliveira

37 L. Wurm

5 L. Muhl

31 L. Matzler

7 O. Schonfelder

8 D. Philipp

35 S. Hingerl

29 A. Fein

27 L. Hermes

10 N. Boujellab

Coach · Sascha Hildmann

Substitutes

23 · M. Schmitt

26 · B. Bauer

44 · M. Karbstein

13 · E. Majetschak

21 · Z. Jano

11 · M. Worner

40 · J. Seibold

34 · P. Hobsch

20 · J. Posselt

SV Wehen

4-1-4-1

16 F. Stritzel

18 F. Greilinger

19 F. Hubner

15 J. Janitzek

5 N. May

37 M. Brandt

22 R. Massimo

7 L. Schleimer

6 G. Fechner

32 R. Paula

28 M. Flotho

Coach · Jochen Seitz

Substitutes

31 · N. Brdar

17 · B. Nink

14 · M. Schultz

29 · P. Hercher

20 · A. Chaikhoun

10 · R. Kalem

8 · D. Bogicevic

45 · I. Allah

21 · M. Muller

Our number · ssv jahn regensburg winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 16 Oct 03:50 · locked at kick-off
42% The market38%
Us42%
Market38%

We make SSV Jahn Regensburg a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 38%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.4.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · SSV Jahn Regensburg v SV Wehen1.62 – 1.39
Form · last six in 3. Liga this season · since 5 SeptW1 D3 L2 · W3 D1 L2
Table places · points 9 v 1117 v 14
The market · SSV Jahn Regensburg win38% · ours 42%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50% 11 OCT 04:0217 OCT 12:18
Our probability · SSV Jahn Regensburg win The market, margin stripped

Published at 44%, 42% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 38% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
SSV Jahn Regensburg win42%38%+4
Draw25%26%−1
SV Wehen win33%36%−3
Over 2.5 goals58%60%−2
Both teams to score60%63%−3
Over 1.5 goals80%81%−1
Over 3.5 goals35%40%−5
SSV Jahn Regensburg or draw67%64%+3
SSV Jahn Regensburg clean sheet25%––
SV Wehen clean sheet20%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.5%
0123450 5.6 6.5 4.8 2.2 1 7.6 11.5 7.6 3.5 2 6.5 8.9 6.1 2.8 3 3.5 4.8 3.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+SSV Jahn Regensburg down, SV Wehen across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.53 of 4
Both scored3 of 4
Last meetingsSSV 2–1 SVW · SVW 2–0 SSV · SVW 1–2 SSV · SSV 2–2 SVW

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. Liga this season · since 5 Sept

SSV JAHN REGENSBURG

LDLDWD1–2 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 3–3 · 5–0 · 2–2

SV WEHEN

DLWLWW1–1 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 1–4 · 4–2 · 3–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1MSV Duisburg9+1524
2FC Viktoria Köln9+1319
3Rot-Weiß Essen9+618
4Hansa Rostock9015
5FC Saarbrücken9+514
6Fortuna Düsseldorf9014
7Stuttgart II10−114
8Hoffenheim II9+413
9Waldhof Mannheim9+213
10Preußen Münster9−212
11Verl9−312
12Alemannia Aachen9−311
13FC Ingolstadt 049−311
14SV Wehen9−311
15Fortuna Köln10−310
16SV Meppen9−510
17SSV Jahn Regensburg9+19
18SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach9−79
19Würzburger Kickers9−68
20Havelse9−105

The competition's standings before kick-off.