

SSV Jahn Regensburg v SV Wehen
SSV Jahn Regensburg
SV Wehen3. Liga · SAT 17 OCT · Arena Regensburg
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said SSV Jahn Regensburg win at 42%.
- 2′Much as we predicted: SSV Jahn Regensburg was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–25–32
- 2′KICK-OFF SSV Jahn Regensburg v SV Wehen
- 35′🟨 YELLOW · 35' SV Wehen
- 41′🟨 YELLOW · 40' Justin Janitzek · SV Wehen
- 42′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Oscar Schoenfelder · SSV Jahn Regensburg
- 45′HALF-TIME SSV Jahn Regensburg 0–0 SV Wehen
- 46′SECOND HALF SSV Jahn Regensburg 0–0 SV Wehen
- 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was SSV Jahn Regensburg win 34%)
- 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' SSV Jahn Regensburg win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
- 55′We expected about 3.0 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 31–43–26
- 58′We said SSV Jahn Regensburg at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 30%. 0–0 · 30–45–25
- 60′We said SSV Jahn Regensburg at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–47–24
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 61' SV Wehen · On: Ayoub Chaikhoun · Off: Lukas Schleimer
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 61' SV Wehen · On: Robin Kalem · Off: Roberto Massimo
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 64' SSV Jahn Regensburg · On: Patrick Hobsch · Off: Lucas Hermes
- 69′We said SSV Jahn Regensburg at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–56–20
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' SSV Jahn Regensburg win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' SSV Jahn Regensburg · On: John Xaver Posselt · Off: David Lennart Philipp
- 74′SUBSTITUTION · 72' SSV Jahn Regensburg · On: Marco Womer · Off: Nassim Boujellab
- 75′We said SSV Jahn Regensburg at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–65–16
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' SV Wehen · On: Marcus Muller · Off: Moritz flotho
- 80′We said SSV Jahn Regensburg at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–74–12
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' SSV Jahn Regensburg win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
- 82′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Sascha Hingerl · SSV Jahn Regensburg
- 84′We said SSV Jahn Regensburg at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–83–8
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' SSV Jahn Regensburg · On: Erik Majetschak · Off: Sascha Hingerl
- 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' SV Wehen · On: Donny Bogicevic · Off: Gino Fechner
- 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' SV Wehen · On: Ben Nink · Off: Niklas May
- 91′We said SSV Jahn Regensburg at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–4
- 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' SSV Jahn Regensburg win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
- FTFULL TIME SSV Jahn Regensburg 0–0 SV Wehen
- FTSSV Jahn Regensburg 0–0 SV Wehen · SSV Jahn Regensburg win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassSSV Jahn Regensburg are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: SSV Jahn Regensburg 42%, draw 25%, SV Wehen 33%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 60%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
SSV Jahn Regensburg win42%
SV Wehen win33%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00
RoundMatchday 10
VenueArena Regensburg
RefereeFranziska Wildfeuer
Match timeline
All events
SSV Jahn RegensburgMIN
SV WehenEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
SSV Jahn Regensburg
5-3-2
SV Wehen
4-1-4-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
SSV Jahn Regensburg
SV Wehen
Last match: 14 Oct · 3. Liga
Last match: 14 Oct · 3. Liga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
SSV Jahn Regensburg
5-3-2
1 H. Hermann
25 N. Oliveira
37 L. Wurm
5 L. Muhl
31 L. Matzler
7 O. Schonfelder
8 D. Philipp
35 S. Hingerl
29 A. Fein
27 L. Hermes
10 N. Boujellab
Coach · Sascha Hildmann
Substitutes
23 · M. Schmitt
26 · B. Bauer
44 · M. Karbstein
13 · E. Majetschak
21 · Z. Jano
11 · M. Worner
40 · J. Seibold
34 · P. Hobsch
20 · J. Posselt
SV Wehen
4-1-4-1
16 F. Stritzel
18 F. Greilinger
19 F. Hubner
15 J. Janitzek
5 N. May
37 M. Brandt
22 R. Massimo
7 L. Schleimer
6 G. Fechner
32 R. Paula
28 M. Flotho
Coach · Jochen Seitz
Substitutes
31 · N. Brdar
17 · B. Nink
14 · M. Schultz
29 · P. Hercher
20 · A. Chaikhoun
10 · R. Kalem
8 · D. Bogicevic
45 · I. Allah
21 · M. Muller
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
SSV Jahn Regensburg
5-3-2
1 H. Hermann
25 N. Oliveira
37 L. Wurm
5 L. Muhl
31 L. Matzler
7 O. Schonfelder
8 D. Philipp
35 S. Hingerl
29 A. Fein
27 L. Hermes
10 N. Boujellab
Coach · Sascha Hildmann
Substitutes
23 · M. Schmitt
26 · B. Bauer
44 · M. Karbstein
13 · E. Majetschak
21 · Z. Jano
11 · M. Worner
40 · J. Seibold
34 · P. Hobsch
20 · J. Posselt
SV Wehen
4-1-4-1
16 F. Stritzel
18 F. Greilinger
19 F. Hubner
15 J. Janitzek
5 N. May
37 M. Brandt
22 R. Massimo
7 L. Schleimer
6 G. Fechner
32 R. Paula
28 M. Flotho
Coach · Jochen Seitz
Substitutes
31 · N. Brdar
17 · B. Nink
14 · M. Schultz
29 · P. Hercher
20 · A. Chaikhoun
10 · R. Kalem
8 · D. Bogicevic
45 · I. Allah
21 · M. Muller
We make SSV Jahn Regensburg a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 38%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 44%, 42% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 38% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| SSV Jahn Regensburg win | 42% | 38% | +4 |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | −1 |
| SV Wehen win | 33% | 36% | −3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 60% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 63% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 81% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 40% | −5 |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg or draw | 67% | 64% | +3 |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
| SV Wehen clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 3. Liga this season · since 5 Sept
SSV JAHN REGENSBURG
SV WEHEN
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 9 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 9 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 9 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 | Hansa Rostock | 9 | 0 | 15 |
| 5 | FC Saarbrücken | 9 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 9 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | Stuttgart II | 10 | −1 | 14 |
| 8 | Hoffenheim II | 9 | +4 | 13 |
| 9 | Waldhof Mannheim | 9 | +2 | 13 |
| 10 | Preußen Münster | 9 | −2 | 12 |
| 11 | Verl | 9 | −3 | 12 |
| 12 | Alemannia Aachen | 9 | −3 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 9 | −3 | 11 |
| 14 | SV Wehen | 9 | −3 | 11 |
| 15 | Fortuna Köln | 10 | −3 | 10 |
| 16 | SV Meppen | 9 | −5 | 10 |
| 17 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 9 | +1 | 9 |
| 18 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 9 | −7 | 9 |
| 19 | Würzburger Kickers | 9 | −6 | 8 |
| 20 | Havelse | 9 | −10 | 5 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
MSV Duisburg
FC Viktoria Köln
Rot-Weiß Essen
Hansa Rostock
FC Saarbrücken
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Stuttgart II
Hoffenheim II
Waldhof Mannheim
Preußen Münster
Verl
Alemannia Aachen
FC Ingolstadt 04
Fortuna Köln
SV Meppen
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Würzburger Kickers
Havelse