Hoffenheim II v FC Viktoria Köln prediction · 3. Liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Hoffenheim IIDrawFC Viktoria Köln

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Hoffenheim II 39%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Hoffenheim II just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Hoffenheim II 39%, draw 23%, FC Viktoria Köln 38%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Hoffenheim II v FC Viktoria KölnBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Hoffenheim II win39%

Draw23%

FC Viktoria Köln win38%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 12

VenueDietmar-Hopp Stadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hoffenheim II

FC Viktoria Köln

13Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. Liga

Last match: 24 Oct · 3. Liga

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	FC Viktoria Köln	11	+15	23
7	Hoffenheim II	10	+5	16

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hoffenheim ii winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Hoffenheim II a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hoffenheim II v FC Viktoria Köln~~1.71 – 1.68

~~Form · last six in 3. Liga this season · since 13 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 16 v 23~~7 v 2

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hoffenheim II win	39%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
FC Viktoria Köln win	38%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	44%	–	–
Hoffenheim II or draw	62%	–	–
Hoffenheim II clean sheet	19%	–	–
FC Viktoria Köln clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.1%

0123450 3.9 5.3 4.8 2.7 1 5.4 10.1 8.0 4.5 2 5.0 8.2 6.8 3.8 3 2.8 4.7 3.9 2.2 4 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hoffenheim II down, FC Viktoria Köln across0–5 goals a side shown (98.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 2,000 3. Liga matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.5% of games this season, across 107 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hoffenheim II at home: 2.50 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). FC Viktoria Köln away: 2.17 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.71 goals for Hoffenheim II, 1.68 for FC Viktoria Köln. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~HOF 1–3 FCV · FCV 2–1 HOF

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. Liga this season · since 13 Sept

HOFFENHEIM II

DWWLLW2–2 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 2–3 · 2–3 · 2–1

FC VIKTORIA KÖLN

WWWDDW3–1 · 3–0 · 5–2 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	MSV Duisburg	11	+14	25
2	FC Viktoria Köln	11	+15	23
3	Rot-Weiß Essen	11	+6	21
4	FC Saarbrücken	10	+7	17
5	Alemannia Aachen	11	0	17
6	FC Ingolstadt 04	11	−1	17
7	Hoffenheim II	10	+5	16
8	Hansa Rostock	11	−2	16
9	SV Wehen	11	+3	15
10	Fortuna Düsseldorf	11	−2	15
11	SV Meppen	11	−1	14
12	Stuttgart II	11	−2	14
13	Waldhof Mannheim	10	0	13
14	Preußen Münster	10	−3	12
15	Verl	11	−6	12
16	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	11	−12	12
17	Würzburger Kickers	11	−8	11
18	SSV Jahn Regensburg	11	0	10
19	Fortuna Köln	10	−3	10
20	Havelse	10	−10	6