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Hansa Rostock v SV Meppen

Hansa Rostock
0–2Full time
SV Meppen

3. Liga · TUE 13 OCT · Ostseestadion

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 20:46
Hansa Rostock 0–2 SV Meppen HANSA ROSTOCK WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Hansa Rostock win61%
The market said61%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.084
The market’s Brier score1.091

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 29 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Hansa Rostock win at 61%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Hansa Rostock was 61% before kick-off and our model makes it 62% now. 0–0 · 62–20–18
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Hansa Rostock v SV Meppen
  4. 2′🟨 YELLOW · 2' Hansa Rostock
  5. 17′🟨 YELLOW · 18' Luca Prasse · SV Meppen
  6. 29′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Luis·Sprekelmeyer · SV Meppen
  7. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Hansa Rostock win: 61% at kick-off, 51% now
  8. 40′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Jonas Fedl · SV Meppen
  9. 45′We said Hansa Rostock at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–33–19
  10. 45′HALF-TIME Hansa Rostock 0–0 SV Meppen
  11. 45′SECOND HALF Hansa Rostock 0–0 SV Meppen
  12. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' SV Meppen · On: Kasra Ghawilu · Off: Luca Prasse Corrected
  13. 54′We said Hansa Rostock at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–38–18
  14. 55′We expected about 3.3 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 43–39–18
  15. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Hansa Rostock · On: Emil Holten · Off: Benno Dietze Corrected
  16. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Hansa Rostock win: 61% at kick-off, 40% now
  17. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Hansa Rostock · On: Maximilian Krauss · Off: David Kopacz Corrected
  18. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 62' SV Meppen · On: Nikell Touglo · Off: Jonas Fedl Corrected
  19. 62′We said Hansa Rostock at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–45–17
  20. 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Hansa Rostock win 39%)
  21. 67′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Nikell Touglo · SV Meppen
  22. 68′We said Hansa Rostock at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–51–15
  23. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Hansa Rostock · On: Yannick Michaelis · Off: Leon Dajaku Corrected
  24. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Hansa Rostock win: 61% at kick-off, 31% now
  25. 72′We said Hansa Rostock at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 0–1 · 6–24–70
  26. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Hansa Rostock 0–1 SV Meppen
  27. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Hansa Rostock win: 61% at kick-off, 6% now
  28. 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' SV Meppen win is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Draw 24%)
  29. 75′We said Hansa Rostock at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–22–74
  30. 75′⚽ GOAL · 73' Hansa Rostock 0–1 SV Meppen · Stefan rankic
  31. 76′73′ and it is 0–1: Stefan rankic on the scoresheet for SV Meppen. 0–1 · 4–21–75
  32. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Hansa Rostock · On: Jonas Dirkner · Off: Marco Schuster Corrected
  33. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Hansa Rostock · On: Milosz Brzozowski · Off: Niklas Kolle Corrected
  34. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' SV Meppen · On: Florian Bahr · Off: Oliver Issa Schmitt Corrected
  35. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 79' SV Meppen · On: Cyrill Akono · Off: Jannic ehlers Corrected
  36. 81′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Ouassim Karada · Hansa Rostock
  37. 82′SV Meppen ahead on 89′ through Nikell Touglo. 0–1. 0–1 · 2–15–84
  38. 82′⚽ GOAL · 89' Hansa Rostock 0–1 SV Meppen · Nikell Touglo
  39. 82′⚽ GOAL · 89' Hansa Rostock 0–1 SV Meppen · Nikell Touglo (assist Luis·Sprekelmeyer)
  40. FTFULL TIME Hansa Rostock 0–1 SV Meppen
  41. FTHansa Rostock 0–2 SV Meppen · Hansa Rostock win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

1

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –
2

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –
3

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –
The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 17:30 · locked at kick-off

Hansa Rostock win61%
Draw21%
SV Meppen win18%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 18:00

VenueOstseestadion

RefereeMartin Wilke

Line-ups

Hansa Rostock

4-2-3-1

SV Meppen

4-3-3

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Hansa Rostock

SV Meppen

3Days since last match3
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Hansa Rostock8+215
19SV Meppen8−77

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Hansa Rostock

4-2-3-1

1 L. Unbehaun

8 O. Karada

15 A. Gurleyen

17 F. Carstens

32 N. Kolle

5 M. Schuster

4 K. Fatkic

27 D. Kopacz

42 B. Dietze

43 L. Dajaku

9 A. Voglsammer

Coach · Andre Breitenreiter

Substitutes

31 · J. Jantunen

23 · F. Pfanne

37 · M. Brzozowski

3 · F. Bohnert

22 · L. Reichardt

6 · J. Dirkner

35 · M. Krauss

41 · Y. Michaelis

11 · E. Holten

SV Meppen

4-3-3

44 J. Punt

2 D. Domrose

19 L. Sprekelmeyer

33 S. Rankic

3 T. Missner

14 T. Deters

5 J. Fedl

6 E. Zehir

31 L. Prasse

17 J. Ehlers

7 O. Schmitt

Coach · Lucas Beniermann

Substitutes

1 · N. Oberbeck

20 · N. Touglo

39 · F. Bahr

10 · K. Ghawilu

4 · J. Borsum

23 · N. Wessels

13 · R. Meier

11 · S. Engelmann

9 · C. Akono

Our number · hansa rostock winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 17:30 · locked at kick-off
61% The market61%
Us61%
Market61%

We make Hansa Rostock a 61% chance to win. The market has them at 61%. We are within 0 points of the market. The model expects 2.2–1.1.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60%65% 9 OCT 06:1813 OCT 15:26
Our probability · hansa rostock win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 61% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Hansa Rostock win61%61%0
Draw21%21%0
SV Meppen win18%18%0
Over 2.5 goals64%64%0
Both teams to score60%61%−1
Over 1.5 goals84%84%0
Over 3.5 goals42%45%−3
Hansa Rostock or draw82%82%0
Hansa Rostock clean sheet33%––
SV Meppen clean sheet12%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.6%
0123450 4.2 3.7 2.3 1 7.7 9.3 5.0 2 8.7 9.6 5.4 2.0 3 6.4 7.0 3.9 4 3.5 3.9 2.2 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Hansa Rostock down, SV Meppen across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in 3. Liga since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in 3. Liga

HANSA ROSTOCK

WDLWDW4–2 · 1–1 · 0–4 · 3–2 · 1–1 · 2–0

SV MEPPEN

WLLLLD3–0 · 1–6 · 1–2 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1MSV Duisburg8+1321
2FC Viktoria Köln8+1318
3Rot-Weiß Essen8+415
4Hansa Rostock8+215
5FC Saarbrücken8+714
6Hoffenheim II8+513
7Waldhof Mannheim8+513
8Preußen Münster8−112
9Alemannia Aachen8011
10Fortuna Düsseldorf8−111
11Verl8−311
12Fortuna Köln8010
13SSV Jahn Regensburg8+18
14Stuttgart II8−38
15FC Ingolstadt 048−68
16SV Wehen8−68
17SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach8−78
18Würzburger Kickers8−67
19SV Meppen8−77
20Havelse8−104

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.