Hansa Rostock v Fortuna Düsseldorf

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Hansa Rostock win at 51%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Hansa Rostock was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–24–25
3. 1′KICK-OFF Hansa Rostock v Fortuna Düsseldorf
4. 17′SUBSTITUTION · 16' Fortuna Düsseldorf · On: Filimon Gerezgiher · Off: Steven van der Sloot
5. 25′We published Hansa Rostock at 51%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–16–8
6. 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Hansa Rostock 1–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf
7. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Hansa Rostock win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
8. 26′GOAL DISALLOWED · 26' Hansa Rostock
9. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 26' Hansa Rostock win: 51% at kick-off, 46% now
10. 35′7 shots for Hansa Rostock, 2 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 44–32–24
11. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Hansa Rostock win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
12. 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Hansa Rostock 1–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf
13. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Hansa Rostock win: 51% at kick-off, 77% now
14. 45′SECOND HALF Hansa Rostock 1–1 Fortuna Düsseldorf
15. 46′44′: Andreas Voglsammer on the scoresheet for Hansa Rostock. 1–1 · 40–37–23
16. 46′⚽ GOAL · 45+1' Hansa Rostock 1–1 Fortuna Düsseldorf
17. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Hansa Rostock win: 51% at kick-off, 40% now
18. 47′We said Hansa Rostock at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–38–23
19. 47′45′: Anas Slimani on the scoresheet for Fortuna Düsseldorf, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 40–37–23
20. 47′HALF-TIME Hansa Rostock 1–1 Fortuna Düsseldorf
21. 49′Goals are coming at about the 3.0 we expected. 1–1 · 39–39–22
22. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Hansa Rostock win 39%)
23. 56′Hansa Rostock have had 10 attempts to 5 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 35–43–21
24. 58′We said Hansa Rostock at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–45–21
25. 63′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Tim Christopher Oberdorf · Fortuna Düsseldorf
26. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Hansa Rostock win: 51% at kick-off, 31% now
27. 64′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Lukas Bornschein · Fortuna Düsseldorf
28. 66′We said Hansa Rostock at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–53–18
29. 68′13 shots for Hansa Rostock, 6 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 28–55–17
30. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Hansa Rostock · On: Benno Dietze · Off: Yannick Michaelis
31. 72′We said Hansa Rostock at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–60–15
32. 72′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Benno Dietze · Hansa Rostock
33. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 71' Lukas Wallner · Hansa Rostock
34. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Fortuna Düsseldorf · On: Fabian Schleusener · Off: Eric Hottmann
35. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Fortuna Düsseldorf · On: Sascha Risch · Off: Erik Wekesser
36. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Hansa Rostock · On: Maximilian Krauss · Off: Lukas Wallner
37. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Hansa Rostock win: 51% at kick-off, 21% now
38. 77′We said Hansa Rostock at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–68–12
39. 82′We said Hansa Rostock at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–78–9
40. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Hansa Rostock win: 51% at kick-off, 10% now
41. 86′We said Hansa Rostock at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–85–6
42. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Hansa Rostock · On: Peter Kiedl · Off: Andreas Voglsammer
43. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Hansa Rostock · On: F. Bock · Off: Leon Dajaku
44. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Fortuna Düsseldorf · On: Jomaine Consbruch · Off: Anas Slimani
45. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Fortuna Düsseldorf · On: Yassine Bouchama · Off: Andreas Müller
46. 92′We said Hansa Rostock at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–2
47. 93′Full time, 1–1. We called Hansa Rostock at 51% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 1–1 · 0–100–0
48. FTFULL TIME Hansa Rostock 1–1 Fortuna Düsseldorf
49. FTHansa Rostock 1–1 Fortuna Düsseldorf · Hansa Rostock win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.