Meppen W v Carl Zeiss Jena W prediction · 2. Frauen Bundesliga

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 15:35

Meppen W 2–2 Carl Zeiss Jena W MEPPEN W WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Meppen W win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.901

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Meppen W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Meppen W 50%, draw 24%, Carl Zeiss Jena W 26%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Meppen W v Carl Zeiss Jena WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Meppen W win50%

Draw24%

Carl Zeiss Jena W win26%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 9

VenueHänsch-Arena

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Meppen W

Carl Zeiss Jena W

13Days since last match13

Last match: 4 Oct · 2. Frauen Bundesliga

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Meppen W	8	+7	14
6	Carl Zeiss Jena W	8	+3	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · meppen w winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Meppen W a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Meppen W v Carl Zeiss Jena W~~1.68 – 1.12

~~Form · last six in 2. Frauen Bundesliga this season · since 23 Aug~~W2 D2 L2 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 14 v 12~~5 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Meppen W win	50%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Carl Zeiss Jena W win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	31%	–	–
Meppen W or draw	74%	–	–
Meppen W clean sheet	34%	–	–
Carl Zeiss Jena W clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.0%

0123450 6.5 7.2 3.9 1 10.5 11.0 6.2 2.4 2 8.5 9.1 5.1 3 4.8 5.2 2.9 4 2.1 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Meppen W down, Carl Zeiss Jena W across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 602 2. Frauen Bundesliga matches up to 4 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 2. Frauen Bundesliga matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.9% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 0.67 goals a meeting; 0 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Meppen W at home: 2.17 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Carl Zeiss Jena W away: 2.33 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.68 goals for Meppen W, 1.12 for Carl Zeiss Jena W. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~0.67

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 3

~~Both scored~~1 of 3

~~Last meetings~~MEP 1–1 CAR · CAR 0–0 MEP · MEP 0–0 CAR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. Frauen Bundesliga this season · since 23 Aug

MEPPEN W

WWLLDD3–0 · 5–0 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 1–1

CARL ZEISS JENA W

WWLWLL3–2 · 3–1 · 0–1 · 4–1 · 1–2 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Viktoria Berlin W	8	+9	21
2	Hertha Berlin W	8	+7	21
3	Bochum W	8	+16	17
4	SGS Essen W	8	+10	17
5	Meppen W	8	+7	14
6	Carl Zeiss Jena W	8	+3	12
7	Ingolstadt W	8	+2	12
8	Andernach W	8	−4	12
9	SC Sand W	8	−1	11
10	Borussia Monchengladbach W	8	−5	7
11	Eintracht Frankfurt II W	8	−11	7
12	Hoffenheim II W	8	−8	4
13	Turbine Potsdam W	8	−11	4
14	FC Koln II W	8	−14	1