Ingolstadt W v SC Sand W prediction · 2. Frauen Bundesliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Ingolstadt WDrawSC Sand W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · SC Sand W 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

SC Sand W are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Ingolstadt W 33%, draw 23%, SC Sand W 44%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Ingolstadt W v SC Sand WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Ingolstadt W win33%

Draw23%

SC Sand W win44%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 10

VenueAudi Sportpark

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ingolstadt W

SC Sand W

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · 2. Frauen Bundesliga

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Ingolstadt W	9	+1	12
8	SC Sand W	9	−1	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sc sand w winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make SC Sand W a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Ingolstadt W v SC Sand W~~1.43 – 1.71

~~Form · last six in 2. Frauen Bundesliga this season · since 30 Aug~~W1 D3 L2 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 12 v 12~~7 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Ingolstadt W win	33%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
SC Sand W win	44%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
Ingolstadt W or draw	56%	–	–
Ingolstadt W clean sheet	19%	–	–
SC Sand W clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.3%

0123450 4.5 7.7 6.4 3.7 1 6.5 10.3 8.7 5.0 2.2 2 4.5 7.3 6.2 3.5 3 2.2 3.5 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Ingolstadt W down, SC Sand W across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 610 2. Frauen Bundesliga matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 2. Frauen Bundesliga matches have gone over 2.5 in 68.8% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 3.17 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Ingolstadt W at home: 2.00 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). SC Sand W away: 1.50 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.43 goals for Ingolstadt W, 1.71 for SC Sand W. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~3.17

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~4 of 6

~~Last meetings~~SCS 3–0 ING · ING 0–1 SCS · ING 1–3 SCS · SCS 2–2 ING

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. Frauen Bundesliga this season · since 30 Aug

INGOLSTADT W

LWDDDL1–2 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 3–3 · 0–1

SC SAND W

LDLDWD0–3 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Viktoria Berlin W	9	+10	24
2	SGS Essen W	10	+21	23
3	Hertha Berlin W	9	+7	22
4	Bochum W	10	+14	20
5	Meppen W	9	+7	15
6	Carl Zeiss Jena W	9	+3	13
7	Ingolstadt W	9	+1	12
8	SC Sand W	9	−1	12
9	Andernach W	9	−9	12
10	Borussia Monchengladbach W	9	−3	10
11	Eintracht Frankfurt II W	9	−13	7
12	Hoffenheim II W	9	−8	5
13	Turbine Potsdam W	9	−15	4
14	FC Koln II W	9	−14	2