Hoffenheim II W v FC Koln II W prediction · 2. Frauen Bundesliga

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 12:32

Hoffenheim II W 1–1 FC Koln II W HOFFENHEIM II W WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Hoffenheim II W win~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.919

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 14 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Hoffenheim II W win at 46%.
2′Little has changed for our model: Hoffenheim II W 46% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 46–23–31
2′KICK-OFF Hoffenheim II W v FC Koln II W
13′A goal for FC Koln II W on 13′. 0–0 · 45–25–31
14′FC Koln II W score on 12′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 23–22–55
14′We said Hoffenheim II W at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 0–1 · 23–22–55
14′⚽ GOAL · 12' Hoffenheim II W 0–1 FC Koln II W
14′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 14' Hoffenheim II W win: 46% at kick-off, 23% now
14′THE CALL SWINGS · 14' FC Koln II W win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Hoffenheim II W win 23%)
27′We said Hoffenheim II W at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–23–58
30′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 0–1 · 19–23–58
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Hoffenheim II W win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
44′Hoffenheim II W find the net on 42′. 1–1. 1–1 · 38–34–28
44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Hoffenheim II W 1–1 FC Koln II W
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Hoffenheim II W win: 46% at kick-off, 38% now
45′Hoffenheim II W level it on 43′ through Tala Winter. 1–1. 1–1 · 38–35–27
45′HALF-TIME Hoffenheim II W 1–1 FC Koln II W
48′SECOND HALF Hoffenheim II W 1–1 FC Koln II W
54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was FC Koln II W win 25%)
55′We said Hoffenheim II W at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–41–25
66′We said Hoffenheim II W at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 1–1 · 28–50–21
69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Hoffenheim II W win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Hoffenheim II W win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
81′We said Hoffenheim II W at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–74–11
86′We said Hoffenheim II W at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–84–7
89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Hoffenheim II W win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
92′We said Hoffenheim II W at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
FTFULL TIME Hoffenheim II W 1–1 FC Koln II W
FTHoffenheim II W 1–1 FC Koln II W · Hoffenheim II W win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hoffenheim II W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hoffenheim II W 46%, draw 22%, FC Koln II W 31%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Hoffenheim II W v FC Koln II WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Hoffenheim II W win46%

Draw22%

FC Koln II W win31%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 10:00

RoundMatchday 9

VenueDietmar-Hopp-Stadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hoffenheim II W

FC Koln II W

14Days since last match14

Last match: 4 Oct · 2. Frauen Bundesliga

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Hoffenheim II W	8	−8	4
14	FC Koln II W	8	−14	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hoffenheim ii w winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Hoffenheim II W a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hoffenheim II W v FC Koln II W~~1.81 – 1.44

~~Form · last six in 2. Frauen Bundesliga this season · since 23 Aug~~W1 D1 L4 · W0 D1 L5

~~Table places · points 4 v 1~~12 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hoffenheim II W win	46%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
FC Koln II W win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	62%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	40%	–	–
Hoffenheim II W or draw	69%	–	–
Hoffenheim II W clean sheet	25%	–	–
FC Koln II W clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.7%

0123450 4.3 6.1 4.2 2.0 1 7.5 9.7 6.9 3.4 2 6.4 8.6 6.0 2.9 3 3.9 5.2 3.6 4 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hoffenheim II W down, FC Koln II W across0–5 goals a side shown (97.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 603 2. Frauen Bundesliga matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 2. Frauen Bundesliga matches have gone over 2.5 in 68.4% of games this season, across 57 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Hoffenheim II W at home: 1.83 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). FC Koln II W away: 0.33 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.81 goals for Hoffenheim II W, 1.44 for FC Koln II W. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. Frauen Bundesliga this season · since 23 Aug

HOFFENHEIM II W

LLDLWL1–4 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 1–4 · 4–0 · 1–3

FC KOLN II W

LLLLDL0–3 · 0–2 · 1–3 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Viktoria Berlin W	8	+9	21
2	Hertha Berlin W	8	+7	21
3	Bochum W	8	+16	17
4	SGS Essen W	8	+10	17
5	Meppen W	9	+7	15
6	Carl Zeiss Jena W	9	+3	13
7	Ingolstadt W	8	+2	12
8	Andernach W	8	−4	12
9	SC Sand W	8	−1	11
10	Borussia Monchengladbach W	8	−5	7
11	Eintracht Frankfurt II W	8	−11	7
12	Hoffenheim II W	8	−8	4
13	Turbine Potsdam W	8	−11	4
14	FC Koln II W	8	−14	1