VfL Wolfsburg v VfL Osnabrück prediction · 2. Bundesliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

VfL WolfsburgDrawVfL Osnabrück

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · VfL Wolfsburg 62%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

VfL Wolfsburg are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: VfL Wolfsburg 62%, draw 20%, VfL Osnabrück 18%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on VfL Wolfsburg v VfL OsnabrückBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

VfL Wolfsburg win62%

Draw20%

VfL Osnabrück win18%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 10

VenueVolkswagen Arena

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Osnabrück

8Days since last match13

Last match: 23 Oct · 2. Bundesliga

Last match: 18 Oct · 2. Bundesliga

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	VfL Wolfsburg	9	+9	16
12	VfL Osnabrück	8	−4	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vfl wolfsburg winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

62% The market–

Us62%

We make VfL Wolfsburg a 62% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · VfL Wolfsburg v VfL Osnabrück~~2.30 – 1.19

~~Form · last six in 2. Bundesliga this season · since 28 Aug~~W2 D3 L1 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 16 v 8~~4 v 12

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
VfL Wolfsburg win	62%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
VfL Osnabrück win	18%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	46%	–	–
VfL Wolfsburg or draw	82%	–	–
VfL Wolfsburg clean sheet	31%	–	–
VfL Osnabrück clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.4%

0123450 3.7 3.3 2.2 1 6.7 8.7 4.9 2 8.0 9.4 5.6 2.2 3 6.1 7.2 4.2 4 3.6 4.2 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+VfL Wolfsburg down, VfL Osnabrück across0–5 goals a side shown (96.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,618 2. Bundesliga matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 2. Bundesliga matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.1% of games this season, across 78 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

VfL Wolfsburg at home: 3.00 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 4). VfL Osnabrück away: 1.33 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.30 goals for VfL Wolfsburg, 1.19 for VfL Osnabrück. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. Bundesliga this season · since 28 Aug

VFL WOLFSBURG

DLWDWD4–4 · 0–1 · 5–1 · 4–4 · 3–1 · 1–1

VFL OSNABRÜCK

WWLDDL1–0 · 3–1 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hertha BSC	9	+12	25
2	1. FC Nürnberg	9	+9	18
3	1. FC Kaiserslautern	9	+5	18
4	VfL Wolfsburg	9	+9	16
5	1. FC Magdeburg	9	+8	16
6	1. FC Heidenheim	9	0	15
7	FC St. Pauli	9	+2	12
8	Arminia Bielefeld	9	−1	11
9	Energie Cottbus	9	−1	10
10	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	8	−1	9
11	Dynamo Dresden	8	−4	8
12	VfL Osnabrück	8	−4	8
13	VfL Bochum	9	−4	8
14	Hannover 96	8	−5	8
15	Karlsruher SC	9	−9	8
16	SV Darmstadt 98	9	−10	8
17	Eintracht Braunschweig	8	−2	7
18	Holstein Kiel	8	−4	5